Mon, Dec 22, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Los Angeles Kings 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 210 | 011 | 19 | 330 |
| LAK | 011 | 16 | 07 | 124 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:07CBJMason MarchmentPPAssists: Damon Severson, Dmitri Voronkov · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 19:36CBJMason MarchmentPPGWGAssists: Damon Severson, Boone Jenner · Deflected, 0.15 xG2–0
- P2 18:41LAKAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Mikey Anderson, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–1
- P3 14:16CBJKirill MarchenkoPPAssists: Denton Mateychuk, Adam Fantilli · Snap, 0.08 xG3–1
Penalties (14)
- P1 2:54LAKKevin Fiala: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 12:27CBJDamon Severson: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:32CBJDante Fabbro: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:16LAKAndrei Kuzmenko: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 2:59CBJMiles Wood: Interference2 min
- P2 8:33LAKCorey Perry: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:33LAKCorey Perry: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 8:33CBJDamon Severson: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:48CBJIvan Provorov: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:04LAKBrandt Clarke: Slashing2 min
- P3 6:27LAKCorey Perry: Slashing2 min
- P3 13:55LAKKevin Fiala: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 14:58CBJBoone Jenner: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:45LAKCorey Perry: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fantilli won the faceoff against Byfield
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Marchment – Marchenko – Fantilli10:36
xG 0.31–0.29 (52%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Wood – Monahan – Voronkov5:53
xG 0.17–0.22 (44%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Coyle – Jenner – Sillinger2:11
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Lundeström – Sillinger – Del Bel Belluz4:38
xG 0.08–0.20 (30%)attempts 2–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Smith – Christiansen7:18
xG 0.34–0.54 (39%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Provorov – Fabbro13:04
xG 0.12–0.39 (23%)attempts 9–17goals 0–1
- Severson – Mateychuk12:45
xG 0.23–0.67 (25%)attempts 9–16goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Byfield – Laferriere6:53
xG 0.82–0.14 (86%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe2:58
xG 0.24–0.14 (63%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Foegele – Turcotte – Kuzmenko3:54
xG 0.20–0.30 (39%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Moore4:36
xG 0.08–0.28 (21%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson11:09
xG 0.43–0.12 (78%)attempts 18–8goals 1–0
- Doughty – Dumoulin2:08
xG 0.27–0.14 (67%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Clarke10:39
xG 0.29–0.32 (48%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).