Tue, Dec 23, 2025·TD Garden, Boston
Montréal Canadiens 6, Boston Bruins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 18 | 112 | 49 | 629 |
| BOS | 217 | 05 | 06 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:08MTLSammy BlaisAssists: Lane Hutson, Noah Dobson · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 12:25BOSMarat KhusnutdinovAssists: Mason Lohrei · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–1
- P1 19:42BOSAlex SteevesPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Viktor Arvidsson · Snap, 0.08 xG1–2
- P2 1:58MTLIvan DemidovUnassisted · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–2
- P3 7:04MTLZachary BolducGWGAssists: Nick Suzuki, Lane Hutson · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–2
- P3 8:43MTLCole CaufieldPPAssists: Noah Dobson, Ivan Demidov · Wrist, 0.28 xG4–2
- P3 10:09MTLNick SuzukiPPAssists: Juraj Slafkovský, Noah Dobson · Bat, 0.11 xG5–2
- P3 12:22MTLJuraj SlafkovskýAssists: Lane Hutson · Slap, 0.09 xG6–2
Penalties (19)
- P1 0:03MTLJosh Anderson: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:03BOSTanner Jeannot: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:29BOSHampus Lindholm: Holding2 min
- P1 8:28BOSNikita Zadorov: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:28MTLArber Xhekaj: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:31MTLJuraj Slafkovský: Interference2 min
- P1 13:41MTLBrendan Gallagher: Slashing2 min
- P1 15:56BOSViktor Arvidsson: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:58MTLIvan Demidov: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 4:15MTLJosh Anderson: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:37BOSAlex Steeves: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 19:55BOSNikita Zadorov: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:55MTLJuraj Slafkovský: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:04BOSViktor Arvidsson: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min · PPG
- P3 8:24BOSTanner Jeannot: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 8:58BOSHampus Lindholm: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:52MTLJuraj Slafkovský: Holding2 min
- P3 18:52MTLJuraj Slafkovský: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:52BOSNikita Zadorov: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Minten won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestSuzuki – Caufield – Bolduc9:21
xG 0.53–0.10 (85%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
- Kapanen – Slafkovský – Demidov6:34
xG 0.49–0.32 (61%)attempts 8–9goals 2–1
- Danault – Anderson – Texier2:15
xG 0.12–0.08 (60%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Gallagher – Blais – Veleno5:41
xG 0.11–0.34 (25%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCarrier – Hutson9:40
xG 0.89–0.09 (91%)attempts 15–5goals 2–0
- Struble – Xhekaj6:25
xG 0.32–0.07 (82%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Matheson – Carrier2:16
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Khusnutdinov – Steeves5:02
xG 0.24–0.13 (65%)attempts 3–7goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Pastrnak – Geekie8:54
xG 0.33–0.28 (54%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Jeannot – Kastelic – Minten4:26
xG 0.08–0.11 (43%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt8:03
xG 0.42–0.48 (47%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Zadorov – Kolyachonok2:38
xG 0.15–0.14 (51%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
- Lindholm – Peeke8:31
xG 0.20–0.22 (47%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Peeke – Lohrei3:02
xG 0.01–0.08 (8%)attempts 2–5goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).