Sat, Dec 27, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Dallas Stars 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 111 | 19 | 111 | 02 | 2 | 433 |
| DAL | 111 | 15 | 113 | 02 | 1 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:20CHITyler BertuzziAssists: Alex Vlasic, Landon Slaggert · Snap, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 11:31DALNils LundkvistAssists: Mikko Rantanen, Wyatt Johnston · Slap, 0.01 xG1–1
- P2 10:37CHIJason DickinsonAssists: Artyom Levshunov · Snap, 0.08 xG2–1
- P2 11:32DALJustin HryckowianAssists: Wyatt Johnston, Mikko Rantanen · Snap, 0.12 xG2–2
- P3 11:18DALMikko RantanenAssists: Wyatt Johnston, Sam Steel · Snap, 0.15 xG2–3
- P3 12:25CHITyler BertuzziAssists: Connor Murphy, Alex Vlasic · Snap, 0.26 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. DAL Jason Robertson stopped
- 2. CHI Teuvo Teravainen stopped
- 3. CHI Ryan Donato scored
- 4. DAL Matt Duchene scored
- 5. CHI Andre Burakovsky stopped
- 6. DAL Wyatt Johnston stopped
- 7. CHI Nick Lardis scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 8:20CHIOliver Moore: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:26CHIConnor Murphy: Holding2 min
- P2 17:56DALKyle Capobianco: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:19CHIArvid Soderblom: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:23CHIWyatt Kaiser: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:11DALJamie Benn: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johnston won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestTeravainen – Burakovsky – Donato9:05
xG 0.55–0.15 (78%)attempts 12–5goals 0–1
- Toninato – Lafferty – Lardis7:50
xG 0.63–0.30 (68%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Bertuzzi – Slaggert10:08
xG 0.37–0.63 (37%)attempts 5–8goals 2–0
- Burakovsky – Bertuzzi – Donato2:36
xG 0.00–0.26 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Kaiser9:56
xG 0.58–0.14 (80%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Levshunov3:06
xG 0.29–0.03 (90%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
- Murphy – Vlasic3:07
xG 0.38–0.15 (71%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestRantanen – Steel – Johnston10:58
xG 0.68–0.32 (68%)attempts 13–7goals 2–1
- Benn – Duchene – Hryckowian10:26
xG 0.48–0.54 (47%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Hintz – Robertson – Bourque10:14
xG 0.40–0.46 (46%)attempts 10–9goals 0–2
- Faksa – Bastian – Bäck7:17
xG 0.12–0.87 (12%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLundkvist – Harley11:39
xG 0.57–0.28 (67%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Lindell – Harley3:04
xG 0.25–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Petrovic – Harley3:13
xG 0.43–0.26 (62%)attempts 5–2goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).