Sat, Dec 27, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 1, Los Angeles Kings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 08 | 112 | 06 | 126 |
| LAK | 417 | 01 | 212 | 630 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:03LAKDrew DoughtyAssists: Quinton Byfield, Corey Perry · Tip-in, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 3:56LAKTrevor MooreGWGAssists: Brian Dumoulin, Cody Ceci · Deflected, 0.13 xG0–2
- P1 10:21LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Snap, 0.24 xG0–3
- P1 19:02LAKQuinton ByfieldPPAssists: Brandt Clarke, Andrei Kuzmenko · Tip-in, 0.06 xG0–4
- P2 10:02ANAMason McTavishPPAssists: Leo Carlsson, Beckett Sennecke · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–4
- P3 4:24LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Brian Dumoulin, Anze Kopitar · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–5
- P3 13:15LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Brandt Clarke, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.07 xG1–6
Penalties (10)
- P1 10:52ANAMikael Granlund: Interference2 min
- P1 11:14LAKAdrian Kempe: Interference2 min
- P1 18:04ANAFrank Vatrano: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 3:00ANAIan Moore: Holding2 min
- P2 9:00LAKBrandt Clarke: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 11:02ANAAlex Killorn: Cross checking2 min
- P2 11:02LAKDrew Doughty: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:14ANARyan Strome: Cross checking2 min
- P3 5:14LAKAlex Turcotte: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:14ANARyan Strome: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carlsson won the faceoff against Byfield
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Vatrano – Carlsson2:52
xG 0.31–0.05 (85%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Killorn – Johnston – Poehling8:05
xG 0.38–0.16 (71%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Kreider – Granlund – Terry4:54
xG 0.21–0.15 (58%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Granlund – Strome – Vatrano2:33
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Trouba – LaCombe10:32
xG 0.52–0.47 (52%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
- Gudas – Zellweger10:49
xG 0.53–0.61 (47%)attempts 17–15goals 0–1
- Moore – Zellweger6:34
xG 0.12–0.22 (36%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Laferriere9:23
xG 0.86–0.30 (74%)attempts 12–8goals 3–0
- Fiala – Turcotte – Kuzmenko9:35
xG 0.61–0.33 (65%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Foegele – Moore – Byfield8:29
xG 0.36–0.08 (81%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Perry – Armia – Helenius5:27
xG 0.15–0.20 (44%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson14:33
xG 0.85–0.28 (75%)attempts 18–9goals 1–0
- Edmundson – Clarke13:24
xG 0.91–0.41 (69%)attempts 18–18goals 1–0
- Dumoulin – Ceci16:25
xG 0.77–0.83 (48%)attempts 18–23goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).