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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 29, 2025·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Nashville Predators 4, Utah Mammoth 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 63% of the time.

UTA winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:16Shot by Bunting, saved by Vanecek
  3. P1 3:15Shot by Carcone, saved by Saros
  4. P1 3:49Shot by Guenther, saved by Saros
  5. P1 4:56Hague: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Crouse, Sergachev, Durzi, Hayton, Guenther · NSH Stamkos, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Hague, Blankenburg

  6. P1 5:48Goal by Peterka (Guenther, Keller)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Peterka, Guenther · NSH Skjei, McCarron, Smith, Wilsby

  7. P1 6:17Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Saros
  8. P1 6:39Shot by Hayton, saved by Saros
  9. P1 8:28Shot by Wood, saved by Vanecek
  10. P1 9:24Shot by Hague, saved by Vanecek
  11. P1 9:51Goal by Josi (Forsberg, Stamkos)+15 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Crouse, DeSimone, Hayton, Guenther · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Perbix

  12. P1 10:25Shot by Durzi, saved by Saros
  13. P1 10:39Shot by Skjei, saved by Vanecek
  14. P1 10:41Shot by Haula, saved by Vanecek
  15. P1 10:45Shot by Wilsby, saved by Vanecek
  16. P1 12:30Shot by Guenther, saved by Saros
  17. P1 16:47Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  18. P1 16:59Smith: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Marino, Keller, Peterka · NSH Josi, McCarron, Perbix, Smith, Schaefer

  19. P1 17:03Shot by Guenther, saved by Saros5v4
  20. P1 17:46Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Saros5v4
  21. P1 18:28Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros5v4
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:22Shot by Crouse, saved by Saros
  25. P2 1:53Shot by Haula, saved by Vanecek
  26. P2 3:41Goal by Sergachev (Schmaltz, Durzi)+22 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Durzi, Peterka · NSH Skjei, McCarron, Smith, Wilsby, Schaefer

  27. P2 4:00Shot by Hayton, saved by Saros
  28. P2 5:41Shot by Stenlund, saved by Saros
  29. P2 5:58Shot by Wilsby, saved by Vanecek
  30. P2 7:48Shot by Jost, saved by Vanecek
  31. P2 7:51Goal by Evangelista (Jost, Blankenburg)+24 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Kerfoot, Carcone, DeSimone, McBain · NSH Jost, Hague, Evangelista, Svechkov, Blankenburg

  32. P2 9:15Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vanecek
  33. P2 10:28Shot by Cole, saved by Saros
  34. P2 10:28Shot by Cole, saved by Saros
  35. P2 10:56Shot by McCarron, saved by Vanecek
  36. P2 11:20Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Saros
  37. P2 12:33Shot by Josi, saved by Vanecek
  38. P2 13:34Shot by McCarron, saved by Vanecek
  39. P2 14:34Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, Schmidt, Carcone, McBain, But · NSH Haula, Skjei, Bunting, Wilsby, Wood

  40. P2 17:12Shot by DeSimone, saved by Saros
  41. P2 18:31Shot by Josi, saved by Vanecek
  42. P2 18:40Shot by Crouse, saved by Saros
  43. P2 19:09Shot by Schmidt, saved by Saros
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 2:08Shot by Carcone, saved by Saros
  47. P3 2:33Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Saros
  48. P3 4:02Goal by Guenther (Crouse, Hayton)+33 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Marino, Hayton, Guenther · NSH Stamkos, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Wilsby

  49. P3 5:12Shot by Hayton, saved by Saros
  50. P3 6:14Shot by Haula, saved by Vanecek
  51. P3 7:47Shot by Bunting, saved by Vanecek
  52. P3 8:31Shot by McCarron, saved by Vanecek
  53. P3 8:32Shot by McCarron, saved by Vanecek
  54. P3 10:05Stenlund: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Kerfoot, O'Brien, Stenlund, Sergachev, Durzi · NSH Haula, Skjei, Forsberg, Bunting, Wilsby

  55. P3 11:13Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vanecek4v5
  56. P3 11:21Shot by Evangelista, saved by Vanecek4v5
  57. P3 11:22Shot by Stamkos, saved by Vanecek4v5
  58. P3 11:31Shot by Evangelista, saved by Vanecek4v5
  59. P3 11:39Goal by Stamkos (O'Reilly, Evangelista)4v5+39 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Kerfoot, Crouse, Sergachev · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Evangelista

  60. P3 13:17Goal by Stamkos (O'Reilly, Perbix)+29 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Sergachev, Carcone, Durzi, McBain, But · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Perbix, Evangelista

  61. P3 14:05Skjei: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Crouse, Sergachev, Durzi, Hayton, Guenther · NSH Haula, Skjei, Forsberg, Bunting, Wilsby

  62. P3 15:04Shot by Peterka, saved by Saros5v4
  63. P3 15:37Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Saros5v4
  64. P3 15:40Perbix: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Peterka, Guenther · NSH O'Reilly, Haula, Hague, Perbix

  65. P3 16:07Shot by Guenther, saved by Saros5v4
  66. P3 16:59Shot by Peterka, saved by Saros5v4
  67. P3 18:57Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros6v5
  68. P3 19:51Shot by Guenther, saved by Saros6v5
  69. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  70. P3 0:00Final6v5