Mon, Dec 29, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Boston Bruins 1, Calgary Flames 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 19 | 07 | 08 | 02 | 126 |
| CGY | 08 | 19 | 01 | 13 | 221 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:06BOSAndrew PeekeAssists: Mason Lohrei, Sean Kuraly · Deflected, 0.09 xG1–0
- P2 13:32CGYBlake ColemanAssists: Mikael Backlund, Joel Hanley · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- OT 1:53CGYConnor ZaryPPGWGUnassisted · Other, 1.00 xG1–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:15BOSMark Kastelic: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:05CGYRasmus Andersson: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:06CGYConnor Zary: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P2 8:38BOSViktor Arvidsson: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:37BOSMark Kastelic: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:27CGYJonathan Huberdeau: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:20BOSHampus Lindholm: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:00BOSJonathan Aspirot: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lindholm won the faceoff against Kadri
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestPastrnak – Khusnutdinov – Minten10:26
xG 0.28–0.17 (62%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Geekie – Steeves7:35
xG 0.18–0.13 (58%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Eyssimont – Kastelic5:35
xG 0.13–0.22 (37%)attempts 3–6goals 1–1
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt11:35
xG 0.15–0.35 (30%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Zadorov – McAvoy15:02
xG 0.54–0.50 (52%)attempts 17–16goals 0–1
- Peeke – Lohrei10:47
xG 0.37–0.48 (43%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Aspirot13:42
xG 0.19–0.41 (31%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
Calgary Flames
Forward lines
- bestHuberdeau – Frost – Zary9:26
xG 0.53–0.02 (97%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Backlund – Coleman – Coronato8:57
xG 0.43–0.12 (78%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Lomberg – Beecher – Klapka6:15
xG 0.05–0.09 (34%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Kadri – Farabee – Sharangovich11:22
xG 0.33–0.81 (29%)attempts 9–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWeegar – Kuznetsov17:30
xG 0.62–0.47 (57%)attempts 17–17goals 0–0
- Hanley – Brzustewicz6:36
xG 0.20–0.15 (56%)attempts 6–5goals 1–1
- Andersson – Bahl14:55
xG 0.44–0.53 (45%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CGY's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CGY is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CGY − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).