Thu, Jan 1, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Nashville Predators 1, Seattle Kraken 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 07 | 19 | 09 | 125 |
| SEA | 313 | 07 | 13 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:48SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Ryker Evans · Tip-in, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 10:41SEAJamie OleksiakGWGAssists: Ryan Winterton, Jacob Melanson · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–2
- P1 10:51SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Jordan Eberle, Kaapo Kakko · Poke, 0.09 xG0–3
- P2 17:34NSHRoman JosiPPAssists: Ryan O'Reilly, Luke Evangelista · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–3
- P3 17:47SEAJared McCannENAssists: Ryan Lindgren · Wrist, 0.28 xG1–4
Penalties (3)
- P1 1:20SEAVince Dunn: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:09NSHErik Haula: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:48SEAAdam Larsson: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Meyers won the faceoff against McCarron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestHaula – Bunting – Jost3:03
xG 0.83–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Stamkos – O'Reilly – Evangelista6:19
xG 0.87–0.04 (96%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- McCarron – Smith – Schaefer10:17
xG 0.76–0.29 (72%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Stamkos – O'Reilly – Forsberg7:13
xG 0.23–0.07 (77%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJosi – Perbix14:45
xG 1.63–0.83 (66%)attempts 18–20goals 0–1
- Hague – Blankenburg15:43
xG 1.22–0.43 (74%)attempts 23–11goals 0–0
- Skjei – Wilsby13:43
xG 0.26–0.16 (63%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestMcCann – Wright – Catton9:13
xG 0.51–0.02 (96%)attempts 16–2goals 0–0
- Winterton – Melanson – Meyers9:36
xG 0.91–0.52 (64%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Eberle – Kakko – Beniers10:12
xG 0.57–0.69 (45%)attempts 11–15goals 2–0
- Stephenson – Gaudreau – Tolvanen10:48
xG 0.00–1.06 (0%)attempts 2–19goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Evans13:17
xG 0.79–0.18 (81%)attempts 15–10goals 2–0
- Larsson – Dunn15:25
xG 0.82–0.44 (65%)attempts 22–10goals 1–0
- Dunn – Fleury2:06
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).