Fri, Jan 2, 2026·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Seattle Kraken 4, Vancouver Canucks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 113 | 26 | 06 | 03 | 1 | 428 |
| VAN | 010 | 28 | 13 | 03 | 0 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:34SEACale FleuryAssists: Jamie Oleksiak, Kaapo Kakko · Slap, 0.01 xG1–0
- P2 8:53SEAChandler StephensonPPAssists: Jordan Eberle, Jared McCann · Snap, 0.10 xG2–0
- P2 13:06VANKiefer SherwoodPPAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Tom Willander · Snap, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 18:13SEABen MeyersAssists: Ryan Winterton, Jacob Melanson · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–1
- P2 19:22VANJake DeBruskPPAssists: Brock Boeser, Elias Pettersson · Deflected, 0.18 xG3–2
- P3 6:15VANLinus KarlssonAssists: Filip Hronek, Jake DeBrusk · Backhand, 0.09 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. VAN Jake DeBrusk stopped
- 2. SEA Frederick Gaudreau stopped
- 3. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 4. SEA Kaapo Kakko stopped
- 5. VAN Liam Ohgren stopped
- 6. SEA Matty Beniers scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 12:11VANBrock Boeser: Interference2 min
- P2 7:38VANElias Pettersson: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 11:58SEAAdam Larsson: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 19:12SEARyker Evans: Holding2 min · PPG
- OT 2:45SEABerkly Catton: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kampf won the faceoff against Meyers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestWinterton – Melanson – Meyers9:12
xG 0.73–0.24 (75%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- McCann – Wright – Catton9:34
xG 0.18–0.30 (37%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Stephenson – Gaudreau – Tolvanen12:09
xG 0.21–0.35 (37%)attempts 4–16goals 0–0
- Eberle – Beniers – Catton2:08
xG 0.00–0.39 (0%)attempts 0–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Lindgren – Fleury14:19
xG 0.30–0.37 (45%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Evans13:51
xG 0.52–0.82 (39%)attempts 10–19goals 1–0
- Larsson – Dunn20:37
xG 0.56–1.05 (35%)attempts 12–30goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDeBrusk – Pettersson – Karlsson11:31
xG 0.78–0.12 (86%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
- Kampf – Sherwood – O'Connor10:33
xG 0.46–0.04 (91%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Hoglander – Räty – Ohgren9:35
xG 0.47–0.31 (60%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Kane – Boeser – Sasson12:20
xG 0.31–0.77 (28%)attempts 12–12goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestPettersson – Hronek9:30
xG 0.75–0.06 (92%)attempts 18–4goals 0–0
- Hronek – Buium11:14
xG 0.61–0.06 (91%)attempts 17–2goals 1–0
- Myers – Joseph10:46
xG 0.63–0.23 (73%)attempts 11–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).