Tue, Jan 6, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
New Jersey Devils 0, New York Islanders 9
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 015 | 019 | 010 | 044 |
| NYI | 37 | 210 | 47 | 924 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:08NYIMathew BarzalGWGAssists: Ryan Pulock, Matthew Schaefer · Snap, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 4:01NYIAnthony DuclairAssists: Adam Pelech · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–2
- P1 13:31NYIAnthony DuclairAssists: Casey Cizikas · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–3
- P2 3:29NYIAnthony DuclairAssists: Mathew Barzal, Tony DeAngelo · Snap, 0.03 xG0–4
- P2 11:12NYISimon HolmstromAssists: Mathew Barzal, Ryan Pulock · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–5
- P3 1:34NYICasey CizikasUnassisted · Backhand, 0.06 xG0–6
- P3 11:28NYITony DeAngeloAssists: Anthony Duclair, Maxim Shabanov · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–7
- P3 18:36NYICalum RitchieAssists: Tony DeAngelo · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–8
- P3 19:02NYICasey CizikasAssists: Anthony Duclair, Scott Mayfield · Snap, 0.14 xG0–9
Penalties (3)
- P1 1:25NYIRyan Pulock: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:05NYIMatthew Schaefer: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:19NYIMatthew Schaefer: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Ritchie won the faceoff against Glass
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMeier – Gritsyuk – Mercer12:16
xG 1.07–0.37 (74%)attempts 20–6goals 0–0
- Bratt – Hischier – Hughes14:38
xG 0.51–0.14 (79%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Noesen – Glendening – Lammikko3:02
xG 0.11–0.03 (80%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Noesen – Brown – Glass2:06
xG 0.03–0.11 (22%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Siegenthaler17:24
xG 1.19–0.08 (94%)attempts 28–5goals 0–1
- Hamilton – Hughes2:30
xG 0.24–0.08 (74%)attempts 3–2goals 0–1
- Dillon – White11:27
xG 0.33–0.41 (45%)attempts 12–7goals 0–3
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestMacLean – Gatcomb – Ritchie4:23
xG 0.14–0.08 (64%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
- Lee – Duclair – Barzal2:30
xG 0.09–0.11 (47%)attempts 2–2goals 2–0
- Lee – Barzal – Heineman11:13
xG 0.55–0.61 (48%)attempts 11–16goals 0–0
- Cizikas – Duclair – Shabanov3:07
xG 0.30–0.36 (45%)attempts 3–5goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestPelech – DeAngelo14:02
xG 0.48–0.42 (54%)attempts 9–12goals 3–0
- DeAngelo – Schaefer2:44
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Mayfield – McWard13:25
xG 0.51–0.57 (47%)attempts 7–20goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).