Tue, Jan 6, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Boston Bruins 4, Seattle Kraken 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 15 | 117 | 214 | 436 |
| SEA | 17 | 314 | 36 | 727 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:50SEAJordan EberlePPAssists: Matty Beniers, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–1
- P1 12:47BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Nikita Zadorov, Marat Khusnutdinov · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 2:48SEABerkly CattonAssists: Jared McCann, Ryker Evans · Slap, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 6:28BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Elias Lindholm · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 18:23SEABen MeyersAssists: Tye Kartye · Snap, 0.17 xG2–3
- P2 19:59SEAJared McCannPPAssists: Vince Dunn, Matty Beniers · Slap, 0.03 xG2–4
- P3 10:21SEAKaapo KakkoGWGAssists: Frederick Gaudreau, Chandler Stephenson · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–5
- P3 14:20SEABerkly CattonPPAssists: Frederick Gaudreau, Kaapo Kakko · Backhand, 0.13 xG2–6
- P3 14:50BOSMason LohreiAssists: Pavel Zacha, Viktor Arvidsson · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–6
- P3 17:38BOSViktor ArvidssonPPAssists: Casey Mittelstadt, Alex Steeves · Wrist, 0.21 xG4–6
- P3 19:48SEAKaapo KakkoENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.72 xG4–7
Penalties (7)
- P1 8:31BOSNikita Zadorov: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 8:40BOSJeremy Swayman: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:49SEABerkly Catton: Holding2 min
- P2 18:39BOSAlex Steeves: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 1:49SEAJoey Daccord: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:56BOSDavid Pastrnak: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 17:23SEARyan Lindgren: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Lindholm
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestArvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt8:57
xG 1.05–0.46 (70%)attempts 14–8goals 1–1
- Lindholm – Pastrnak – Geekie7:25
xG 0.59–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 1–0
- Khusnutdinov – Steeves – Minten4:08
xG 0.27–0.01 (95%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Khusnutdinov – Minten5:54
xG 0.29–0.11 (73%)attempts 14–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestZadorov – McAvoy2:57
xG 0.37–0.06 (86%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- McAvoy – Aspirot11:51
xG 0.31–0.14 (68%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
- Peeke – Lohrei10:47
xG 0.39–0.48 (45%)attempts 18–7goals 0–1
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- McCann – Wright – Catton10:29
xG 0.52–0.51 (51%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
- Eberle – Kakko – Beniers11:35
xG 0.51–0.57 (47%)attempts 12–13goals 0–1
- Stephenson – Gaudreau – Winterton11:29
xG 0.23–0.63 (27%)attempts 11–20goals 0–0
- Kartye – Melanson – Meyers9:03
xG 0.45–0.96 (32%)attempts 6–15goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Evans13:13
xG 0.81–0.36 (69%)attempts 11–8goals 1–2
- Larsson – Dunn14:18
xG 0.38–1.00 (28%)attempts 13–27goals 0–0
- Lindgren – Fleury16:12
xG 0.46–1.38 (25%)attempts 11–25goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).