Sat, Jan 10, 2026·TD Garden, Boston
New York Rangers 2, Boston Bruins 10
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 16 | 18 | 015 | 229 |
| BOS | 313 | 49 | 312 | 1034 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:24NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Artemi Panarin, Matthew Robertson · Slap, 0.01 xG1–0
- P1 2:31BOSMarat KhusnutdinovAssists: David Pastrnak, Henri Jokiharju · Snap, 0.09 xG1–1
- P1 7:16BOSPavel ZachaAssists: Charlie McAvoy · Snap, 0.07 xG1–2
- P1 19:27BOSPavel ZachaPPGWGAssists: Elias Lindholm, David Pastrnak · Snap, 0.92 xG1–3
- P2 2:12BOSFraser MintenAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Alex Steeves · Snap, 0.08 xG1–4
- P2 6:41BOSMarat KhusnutdinovAssists: David Pastrnak, Elias Lindholm · Snap, 0.22 xG1–5
- P2 11:26BOSPavel ZachaAssists: Casey Mittelstadt · Snap, 0.06 xG1–6
- P2 14:04NYRJ.T. MillerPPAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Vincent Trocheck · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–6
- P2 15:47BOSCharlie McAvoyAssists: David Pastrnak, Jonathan Aspirot · Snap, 0.13 xG2–7
- P3 3:51BOSMarat KhusnutdinovAssists: David Pastrnak, Nikita Zadorov · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–8
- P3 11:26BOSFraser MintenAssists: David Pastrnak, Marat Khusnutdinov · Snap, 0.09 xG2–9
- P3 18:31BOSMarat KhusnutdinovAssists: Henri Jokiharju, Fraser Minten · Tip-in, 0.05 xG2–10
Penalties (13)
- P1 18:03NYRMika Zibanejad: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 18:48NYRJ.T. Miller: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:54BOSCharlie McAvoy: Penalty shot slash on breakaway0 min
- P2 11:29BOSMark Kastelic: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 11:29NYRSam Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:29BOSMark Kastelic: Misconduct10 min
- P2 13:05BOSMason Lohrei: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 7:34BOSAndrew Peeke: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:34BOSAndrew Peeke: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:34NYRSam Carrick: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:45NYRWill Cuylle: Boarding2 min
- P3 18:24NYRWill Cuylle: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:24BOSSean Kuraly: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lindholm won the faceoff against Trocheck
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Miller – Lafrenière11:17
xG 0.49–0.28 (64%)attempts 14–6goals 0–3
- Raddysh – Laba – Perreault12:08
xG 0.68–0.59 (53%)attempts 18–11goals 0–1
- Carrick – Brodzinski – Rempe5:43
xG 0.08–0.49 (14%)attempts 1–11goals 0–2
- Zibanejad – Panarin – Cuylle12:42
xG 0.34–1.02 (25%)attempts 11–15goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Morrow7:52
xG 0.65–0.50 (57%)attempts 11–12goals 0–3
- Robertson – Morrow4:41
xG 0.16–0.10 (62%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
- Soucy – Borgen2:16
xG 0.03–0.18 (16%)attempts 1–2goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestPastrnak – Khusnutdinov – Minten3:58
xG 0.31–0.04 (89%)attempts 5–7goals 2–0
- Kuraly – Jeannot – Steeves3:23
xG 0.44–0.23 (65%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Geekie – Steeves – Minten4:12
xG 0.30–0.13 (70%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Pastrnak – Khusnutdinov8:15
xG 0.46–0.35 (57%)attempts 7–7goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestZadorov – Jokiharju14:15
xG 1.34–0.46 (74%)attempts 22–11goals 3–0
- McAvoy – Aspirot15:04
xG 0.72–0.72 (50%)attempts 16–21goals 3–1
- Peeke – Lohrei15:20
xG 0.42–0.51 (45%)attempts 9–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).