Sat, Jan 10, 2026·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Nashville Predators 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 07 | 19 | 25 | 321 |
| NSH | 09 | 012 | 015 | 036 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:41CHITyler BertuzziPPGWGAssists: Connor Bedard, Artyom Levshunov · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P3 11:01CHINick LardisAssists: Connor Bedard, Kevin Korchinski · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–0
- P3 18:32CHIRyan GreeneENAssists: Tyler Bertuzzi · Backhand, 0.77 xG3–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 12:17NSHErik Haula: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:04NSHRoman Josi: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 8:12CHIWyatt Kaiser: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 8:12NSHMichael Bunting: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:12CHIRyan Donato: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:20CHIKevin Korchinski: Interference2 min
- P3 3:48NSHCole Smith: Holding2 min
- P3 8:02CHIAndre Burakovsky: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McCarron won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestTeravainen – Lardis – Moore6:08
xG 0.43–0.21 (68%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Bertuzzi – Mikheyev8:33
xG 0.37–0.62 (37%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Foligno – Donato – Slaggert7:41
xG 0.13–0.43 (24%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – Greene – Bedard10:41
xG 0.24–0.81 (23%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Kaiser – Levshunov12:03
xG 0.45–0.41 (52%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Korchinski12:17
xG 0.41–0.77 (35%)attempts 8–14goals 1–0
- Murphy – Vlasic13:21
xG 0.32–0.83 (28%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestJost – Svechkov – Wood6:14
xG 0.51–0.19 (73%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Haula – Bunting – Evangelista5:38
xG 0.42–0.24 (63%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Forsberg – Svechkov – Wood2:22
xG 0.09–0.08 (54%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Stamkos – O'Reilly – Evangelista4:27
xG 0.07–0.08 (48%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJosi – Perbix12:03
xG 0.70–0.38 (65%)attempts 20–8goals 0–0
- Skjei – Wilsby11:28
xG 0.56–0.39 (59%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Hague – Blankenburg12:31
xG 0.27–0.49 (36%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).