Sun, Jan 11, 2026·Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Utah Mammoth 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 111 | 114 | 09 | 12 | 336 |
| UTA | 17 | 18 | 012 | 00 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:47CBJMikael PyyhtiaAssists: Danton Heinen, Ivan Provorov · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 16:20UTAJack McBainAssists: Clayton Keller, Nick DeSimone · Deflected, 0.17 xG1–1
- P2 1:02UTAMikhail SergachevAssists: Clayton Keller, Nick Schmaltz · Snap, 0.02 xG1–2
- P2 18:31CBJCharlie CoylePPAssists: Adam Fantilli, Kirill Marchenko · Wrist, 0.35 xG2–2
- OT 1:01CBJDmitri VoronkovPPGWGAssists: Zach Werenski, Kirill Marchenko · Tip-in, 0.11 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 9:45CBJDmitri Voronkov: Holding2 min
- P2 17:29UTAJack McBain: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 0:19UTAJack McBain: Slashing2 min
- P3 2:04CBJBoone Jenner: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:36UTADaniil But: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McBain won the faceoff against Coyle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMarchenko – Sillinger – Fantilli10:42
xG 0.93–0.37 (71%)attempts 14–15goals 0–1
- Jenner – Monahan – Johnson8:38
xG 0.43–0.16 (73%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Coyle – Olivier – Voronkov9:24
xG 0.33–0.30 (52%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Gaunce – Heinen – Pyyhtia8:53
xG 0.32–0.32 (51%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Provorov4:43
xG 0.32–0.01 (97%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Severson – Werenski8:41
xG 0.69–0.40 (63%)attempts 10–12goals 0–2
- Werenski – Provorov4:18
xG 0.22–0.02 (91%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
Utah Mammoth
Forward lines
- bestHayton – Peterka – Guenther7:39
xG 0.45–0.34 (57%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Carcone – McBain – But7:40
xG 0.32–0.25 (56%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- McBain – Guenther – But2:11
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Stenlund – Tanev – Yamamoto8:25
xG 0.14–0.29 (32%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCole – DeSimone10:38
xG 0.77–0.32 (70%)attempts 14–12goals 1–1
- Schmidt – Marino16:02
xG 0.15–0.56 (21%)attempts 12–14goals 0–0
- Sergachev – Durzi17:38
xG 0.63–1.35 (32%)attempts 25–25goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
UTA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line UTA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (UTA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).