Mon, Jan 19, 2026·Honda Center, Anaheim
New York Rangers 3, Anaheim Ducks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 16 | 19 | 17 | 322 |
| ANA | 15 | 214 | 27 | 526 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:00NYRMatthew RobertsonAssists: Mika Zibanejad, J.T. Miller · Slap, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 11:31ANAMason McTavishAssists: Pavel Mintyukov · Snap, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 4:03NYRArtemi PanarinPPAssists: Vincent Trocheck, J.T. Miller · Snap, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 8:29ANAJeffrey VielAssists: Ryan Poehling · Snap, 0.26 xG2–2
- P2 18:02ANAAlex KillornPPAssists: Jacob Trouba · Backhand, 0.13 xG2–3
- P3 1:01ANACutter GauthierGWGAssists: Drew Helleson · Snap, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 7:11NYRVladislav GavrikovPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Vincent Trocheck · Slap, 0.05 xG3–4
- P3 19:24ANACutter GauthierENAssists: Jackson LaCombe · Snap, 0.66 xG3–5
Penalties (7)
- P2 1:38NYRAlexis Lafrenière: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:31ANABeckett Sennecke: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 16:55NYRWill Cuylle: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:34ANAJackson LaCombe: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 7:36NYRMatthew Robertson: Holding2 min
- P3 14:10ANADrew Helleson: Holding2 min
- P3 15:49ANARyan Poehling: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against McTavish
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière11:22
xG 0.59–0.25 (70%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Carrick – Brodzinski – Raddysh6:40
xG 0.26–0.17 (61%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Cuylle – Othmann – Laba7:45
xG 0.23–0.14 (62%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
- Zibanejad – Miller – Perreault13:17
xG 0.31–1.16 (21%)attempts 9–15goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestBorgen – Robertson11:48
xG 0.64–0.40 (61%)attempts 14–9goals 1–1
- Gavrikov – Robertson2:25
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Vaakanainen – Morrow13:23
xG 0.26–0.28 (48%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestViel – Poehling – Gauthier10:26
xG 0.66–0.27 (71%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
- Kreider – Strome – McTavish8:17
xG 0.24–0.29 (46%)attempts 8–8goals 1–1
- Killorn – Granlund – Sennecke12:55
xG 0.53–0.57 (48%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHelleson – Mintyukov8:47
xG 0.48–0.19 (71%)attempts 9–7goals 2–0
- Trouba – LaCombe12:55
xG 0.48–0.30 (61%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Gudas – Zellweger9:25
xG 0.50–0.39 (56%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).