Tue, Jan 20, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Boston Bruins 2, Dallas Stars 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 06 | 05 | 27 | 218 |
| DAL | 215 | 217 | 25 | 637 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:08DALWyatt JohnstonPPAssists: Roope Hintz, Miro Heiskanen · Snap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 19:47DALMavrik BourquePPAssists: Thomas Harley, Justin Hryckowian · Snap, 0.20 xG0–2
- P2 8:26DALEsa LindellGWGAssists: Miro Heiskanen, Justin Hryckowian · Slap, 0.01 xG0–3
- P2 19:29DALJustin HryckowianAssists: Thomas Harley · Deflected, 0.03 xG0–4
- P3 3:15DALJason RobertsonAssists: Miro Heiskanen, Roope Hintz · Wrap-around, 0.09 xG0–5
- P3 6:37DALJason RobertsonAssists: Mavrik Bourque, Radek Faksa · Snap, 0.04 xG0–6
- P3 12:11BOSMorgan GeekiePPAssists: David Pastrnak, Elias Lindholm · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–6
- P3 15:39BOSFraser MintenAssists: Nikita Zadorov · Backhand, 0.13 xG2–6
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:22BOSDavid Pastrnak: Tripping2 min
- P1 7:21DALJason Robertson: High sticking2 min
- P1 11:23DALNathan Bastian: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:23BOSJonathan Aspirot: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 15:43BOSElias Lindholm: Interference2 min
- P1 17:55BOSNikita Zadorov: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 11:05DALEsa Lindell: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bourque won the faceoff against Lindholm
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Jeannot – Kastelic5:58
xG 0.26–0.10 (73%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt11:09
xG 0.31–0.22 (58%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Jeannot – Geekie – Minten3:31
xG 0.13–0.07 (63%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Kastelic – Steeves4:37
xG 0.02–0.08 (20%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Zadorov – Peeke16:32
xG 0.56–0.53 (52%)attempts 11–15goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Lohrei13:40
xG 0.53–0.86 (38%)attempts 9–17goals 0–2
- McAvoy – Aspirot13:52
xG 0.03–0.50 (6%)attempts 6–18goals 0–2
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestHintz – Robertson – Bourque12:17
xG 0.99–0.23 (81%)attempts 20–5goals 2–0
- Benn – Bäck – Hryckowian8:46
xG 0.34–0.07 (83%)attempts 14–4goals 2–0
- Blackwell – Faksa – Bastian7:08
xG 0.23–0.42 (36%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
- Duchene – Steel – Johnston10:59
xG 0.32–0.68 (32%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindell – Heiskanen16:39
xG 0.99–0.35 (74%)attempts 22–9goals 2–0
- Petrovic – Lyubushkin15:09
xG 0.43–0.47 (48%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Lundkvist – Harley16:23
xG 0.49–0.63 (44%)attempts 14–13goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).