Tue, Jan 20, 2026·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
New York Rangers 3, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 28 | 016 | 112 | 336 |
| LAK | 28 | 211 | 08 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:18LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Brandt Clarke, Corey Perry · Slap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 8:18NYRWill CuylleAssists: Scott Morrow, Noah Laba · Deflected, 0.14 xG1–1
- P1 9:00LAKKevin FialaUnassisted · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–2
- P1 16:36NYRJ.T. MillerAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Braden Schneider · Tip-in, 0.07 xG2–2
- P2 4:23LAKTaylor WardAssists: Jeff Malott, Samuel Helenius · Snap, 0.25 xG2–3
- P2 12:37LAKAndrei KuzmenkoGWGAssists: Kevin Fiala, Alex Turcotte · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–4
- P3 19:33NYRJ.T. MillerAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Vincent Trocheck · Snap, 0.01 xG3–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 1:33NYRMatthew Robertson: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:22LAKAlex Laferriere: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:47LAKJoel Edmundson: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:56NYRBraden Schneider: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:11NYRBraden Schneider: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Laferriere won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière13:09
xG 1.07–0.79 (58%)attempts 21–10goals 0–1
- Zibanejad – Miller – Perreault12:20
xG 0.23–0.35 (39%)attempts 7–16goals 1–1
- Cuylle – Othmann – Laba8:47
xG 0.25–0.53 (32%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
- Carrick – Brodzinski – Raddysh4:36
xG 0.06–0.84 (7%)attempts 3–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestRobertson – Morrow11:02
xG 0.80–0.68 (54%)attempts 11–16goals 1–0
- Soucy – Borgen13:18
xG 0.50–0.76 (40%)attempts 17–16goals 0–1
- Gavrikov – Schneider16:58
xG 0.31–1.23 (20%)attempts 9–21goals 1–3
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Turcotte – Kuzmenko10:19
xG 1.26–0.61 (67%)attempts 17–7goals 2–0
- Armia – Foegele – Byfield11:37
xG 0.66–0.19 (78%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
- Malott – Helenius – Ward5:22
xG 0.53–0.16 (77%)attempts 11–5goals 1–1
- Perry – Kempe – Laferriere11:20
xG 0.28–0.36 (44%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Moverare8:28
xG 1.03–0.25 (80%)attempts 18–9goals 0–1
- Edmundson – Clarke13:04
xG 0.76–0.04 (95%)attempts 20–2goals 2–0
- Dumoulin – Edmundson2:02
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).