Fri, Jan 23, 2026·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New Jersey Devils 5, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 18 | 313 | 13 | 524 |
| VAN | 07 | 310 | 18 | 425 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:41NJDLenni HameenahoAssists: Simon Nemec, Cody Glass · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–0
- P2 2:34NJDNico HischierPPAssists: Jack Hughes, Dougie Hamilton · Slap, 0.18 xG2–0
- P2 3:14NJDCody GlassAssists: Lenni Hameenaho, Jonas Siegenthaler · Tip-in, 0.10 xG3–0
- P2 9:47VANLinus KarlssonAssists: Nils Hoglander, Marcus Pettersson · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–1
- P2 11:59VANTeddy BluegerSHAssists: Drew O'Connor · Snap, 0.20 xG3–2
- P2 15:12NJDConnor BrownPPAssists: Arseny Gritsyuk, Nico Hischier · Snap, 0.19 xG4–2
- P2 18:12VANZeev BuiumAssists: Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.17 xG4–3
- P3 11:03NJDCody GlassGWGAssists: Timo Meier, Johnathan Kovacevic · Wrist, 0.21 xG5–3
- P3 18:48VANBrock BoeserAssists: Linus Karlsson, Tom Willander · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–4
Penalties (4)
- P1 14:23NJDJesper Bratt: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:56VANTom Willander: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 11:30VANConor Garland: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 7:28NJDEvgenii Dadonov: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Chytil
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestGlass – Gritsyuk – Hameenaho6:51
xG 0.46–0.16 (74%)attempts 8–9goals 2–0
- Palat – Hischier – Mercer10:23
xG 0.42–0.13 (76%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Meier – Bratt – Hughes11:05
xG 0.47–0.48 (49%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Brown – Cotter7:20
xG 0.00–0.34 (0%)attempts 0–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Hamilton12:33
xG 0.63–0.36 (64%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Kovacevic – Nemec9:53
xG 0.42–0.38 (53%)attempts 13–10goals 1–1
- Pesce – Siegenthaler16:35
xG 0.47–0.81 (37%)attempts 10–12goals 1–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKampf – Karlsson – Hoglander7:01
xG 0.45–0.18 (72%)attempts 7–2goals 1–0
- Boeser – Chytil – O'Connor11:28
xG 0.47–0.43 (52%)attempts 9–8goals 0–1
- Blueger – Garland – Ohgren8:58
xG 0.05–0.26 (17%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
- Kane – DeBrusk – Pettersson7:57
xG 0.18–0.49 (26%)attempts 2–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Buium5:13
xG 0.67–0.10 (87%)attempts 10–1goals 1–0
- Pettersson – Hronek3:41
xG 0.23–0.13 (64%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Willander8:31
xG 0.19–0.29 (41%)attempts 5–9goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).