Fri, Jan 23, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Anaheim Ducks 4, Seattle Kraken 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 212 | 112 | 17 | 431 |
| SEA | 03 | 18 | 111 | 222 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:02ANACutter GauthierAssists: Jeffrey Viel, Pavel Mintyukov · Snap, 0.17 xG1–0
- P1 15:24ANARyan PoehlingSHAssists: Ian Moore · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–0
- P2 1:55SEAJared McCannAssists: Jordan Eberle, Matty Beniers · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 4:00ANAChris KreiderPPGWGAssists: Cutter Gauthier, Jackson LaCombe · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–1
- P3 1:54SEAJaden SchwartzAssists: Shane Wright, Kaapo Kakko · Poke, 0.06 xG3–2
- P3 18:48ANAPavel MintyukovENAssists: Mikael Granlund, Drew Helleson · Wrist, 0.25 xG4–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 14:17ANAAlex Killorn: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:38SEARyker Evans: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 8:00SEARyan Lindgren: Penalty shot holding on breakaway0 min
- P2 12:42ANARyan Strome: High sticking2 min
- P2 14:12SEABrandon Montour: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Granlund won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestViel – Poehling – Gauthier12:03
xG 0.79–0.22 (78%)attempts 22–6goals 1–0
- Kreider – Strome – Harkins8:23
xG 0.40–0.20 (67%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
- Killorn – Granlund – Sennecke8:00
xG 0.36–0.39 (48%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Killorn – Kreider – Granlund2:31
xG 0.00–0.27 (0%)attempts 0–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHelleson – Mintyukov12:01
xG 0.80–0.14 (85%)attempts 20–8goals 1–0
- Gudas – Zellweger9:56
xG 0.32–0.36 (47%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Trouba – LaCombe11:53
xG 0.54–0.70 (44%)attempts 10–14goals 0–1
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – McCann – Beniers13:27
xG 0.50–0.17 (74%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Stephenson – Tolvanen – Catton10:43
xG 0.62–0.67 (48%)attempts 16–17goals 0–1
- Schwartz – Kakko – Wright10:13
xG 0.21–0.28 (43%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Gaudreau – Winterton – Melanson9:13
xG 0.14–0.31 (31%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMontour – Dunn6:16
xG 0.35–0.05 (87%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Lindgren – Evans11:30
xG 0.33–0.20 (62%)attempts 10–11goals 2–0
- Montour – Evans2:08
xG 0.10–0.04 (71%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).