Mon, Jan 26, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York
Boston Bruins 3, New York Rangers 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 17 | 29 | 08 | 00 | 324 |
| NYR | 210 | 09 | 18 | 11 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:45NYRWill CuylleAssists: Urho Vaakanainen, Noah Laba · Tip-in, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 12:09BOSElias LindholmAssists: David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–1
- P1 12:35NYRJ.T. MillerAssists: Gabe Perreault, Mika Zibanejad · Snap, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 3:18BOSElias LindholmAssists: David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–2
- P2 8:52BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: David Pastrnak, Mason Lohrei · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–2
- P3 13:43NYRWill BorgenAssists: Artemi Panarin, Alexis Lafrenière · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–3
- OT 3:53NYRMatthew RobertsonGWGAssists: Jonathan Quick, Vincent Trocheck · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–4
Penalties (5)
- P2 4:50BOSHenri Jokiharju: Holding2 min
- P2 6:13BOSCharlie McAvoy: Holding2 min
- P2 10:12NYRMatt Rempe: Holding2 min
- P2 12:48BOSTanner Jeannot: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:48BOSCharlie McAvoy: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Trocheck won the faceoff against Zacha
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestLindholm – Pastrnak – Geekie14:19
xG 1.37–0.49 (74%)attempts 20–17goals 3–1
- Kuraly – Jeannot – Kastelic6:51
xG 0.24–0.08 (74%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Khusnutdinov – Steeves – Minten8:09
xG 0.31–0.19 (62%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt10:48
xG 0.11–0.67 (15%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Jokiharju12:19
xG 0.99–0.61 (62%)attempts 16–12goals 1–2
- McAvoy – Aspirot12:43
xG 0.37–0.04 (89%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Lindholm – McAvoy3:43
xG 0.28–0.02 (92%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestCuylle – Othmann – Laba8:08
xG 0.47–0.10 (82%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Carrick – Raddysh – Rempe7:28
xG 0.35–0.22 (62%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière13:43
xG 0.26–0.27 (50%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Zibanejad – Miller – Perreault11:22
xG 0.29–1.24 (19%)attempts 10–18goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestVaakanainen – Morrow9:39
xG 0.69–0.22 (76%)attempts 7–7goals 2–0
- Robertson – Schneider2:25
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Schneider14:34
xG 0.07–0.61 (10%)attempts 7–17goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).