Tue, Jan 27, 2026·TD Garden, Boston
Nashville Predators 2, Boston Bruins 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 06 | 113 | 111 | 00 | 230 |
| BOS | 18 | 113 | 06 | 11 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:16BOSHampus LindholmAssists: Mason Lohrei, Fraser Minten · Snap, 0.01 xG0–1
- P2 2:48BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: David Pastrnak, Jonathan Aspirot · Snap, 0.10 xG0–2
- P2 19:25NSHRoman JosiPPAssists: Ryan O'Reilly, Steven Stamkos · Slap, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 13:17NSHNick BlankenburgAssists: Adam Wilsby, Luke Evangelista · Snap, 0.04 xG2–2
- OT 0:15BOSDavid PastrnakGWGAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Marat Khusnutdinov · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 7:14NSHBrady Skjei: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:27BOSHampus Lindholm: Interference2 min
- P1 14:40NSHFilip Forsberg: High sticking2 min
- P2 5:45BOSTanner Jeannot: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:12NSHSteven Stamkos: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:36BOSHampus Lindholm: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:56BOSDavid Pastrnak: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 11:48BOSMichael Eyssimont: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:48NSHMichael Bunting: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lindholm won the faceoff against O'Reilly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestO'Reilly – Forsberg – Evangelista11:07
xG 1.13–0.28 (80%)attempts 19–6goals 0–0
- Marchessault – McCarron – Smith7:36
xG 0.29–0.04 (88%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Stamkos – Haula – Bunting6:55
xG 0.32–0.21 (60%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJosi – Skjei16:27
xG 1.16–0.34 (77%)attempts 19–10goals 0–1
- Perbix – Wilsby7:22
xG 0.42–0.01 (98%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Barron – Blankenburg3:08
xG 0.16–0.04 (79%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestArvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt10:12
xG 0.65–0.39 (62%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Eyssimont – Khusnutdinov – Minten4:52
xG 0.17–0.13 (56%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Jeannot – Kastelic6:59
xG 0.29–0.29 (50%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Geekie – Minten5:56
xG 0.12–0.21 (37%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestZadorov – Peeke12:51
xG 0.72–0.41 (64%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Lohrei9:50
xG 0.20–0.30 (41%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Lindholm – McAvoy3:09
xG 0.00–0.27 (0%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).