Tue, Jan 27, 2026·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Minnesota Wild 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 214 | 16 | 07 | 05 | 0 | 332 |
| MIN | 08 | 17 | 26 | 02 | 1 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:19CHITeuvo TeravainenAssists: Connor Bedard, Louis Crevier · Backhand, 0.20 xG1–0
- P1 15:14CHIRyan DonatoUnassisted · Slap, 0.18 xG2–0
- P2 5:54CHIIlya MikheyevAssists: Alex Vlasic, Jason Dickinson · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–0
- P2 12:33MINYakov TreninAssists: Daemon Hunt · Snap, 0.08 xG3–1
- P3 3:57MINJoel Eriksson EkAssists: Marcus Johansson, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.23 xG3–2
- P3 17:58MINJared SpurgeonAssists: Joel Eriksson Ek, Matt Boldy · Backhand, 0.14 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. MIN Mats Zuccarello stopped
- 2. CHI Frank Nazar stopped
- 3. MIN Kirill Kaprizov scored
- 4. MIN Matt Boldy stopped
- 5. CHI Ryan Donato stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 16:01MINJake Middleton: Holding2 min
- P2 18:13MINJared Spurgeon: Holding2 min
- P3 5:06CHIMatt Grzelcyk: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:37MINDanila Yurov: Holding2 min
- P3 14:11MINMatt Boldy: Slashing2 min
- OT 3:04MINMatt Boldy: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dickinson won the faceoff against Eriksson Ek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestTeravainen – Nazar – Bedard11:42
xG 1.43–0.42 (77%)attempts 16–6goals 1–1
- Burakovsky – Greene – Moore7:46
xG 0.39–0.32 (55%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
- Foligno – Donato – Slaggert6:33
xG 0.24–0.22 (53%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Dickinson – Bertuzzi – Mikheyev12:12
xG 0.38–0.39 (49%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Crevier16:43
xG 1.27–0.38 (77%)attempts 16–10goals 2–0
- Murphy – Grzelcyk13:50
xG 0.84–0.68 (55%)attempts 15–14goals 1–1
- Kaiser – Levshunov13:52
xG 0.61–0.49 (55%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Tarasenko – Yurov8:15
xG 0.38–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 0–0
- Johansson – Eriksson Ek – Boldy10:11
xG 0.77–0.68 (53%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
- Hinostroza – Trenin – Sturm5:56
xG 0.08–0.09 (46%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov13:07
xG 0.46–0.99 (32%)attempts 11–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Spurgeon – Middleton15:11
xG 0.62–0.67 (48%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Hunt – Jiricek6:38
xG 0.17–0.29 (38%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
- Hughes – Faber20:05
xG 0.93–1.71 (35%)attempts 13–20goals 1–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).