Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
Nashville Predators 2, New Jersey Devils 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 17 | 013 | 19 | 00 | 229 |
| NJD | 013 | 113 | 18 | 11 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:07NSHMichael McCarronAssists: Jonathan Marchessault, Cole Smith · Wrap-around, 0.09 xG1–0
- P2 10:01NJDDougie HamiltonAssists: Lenni Hameenaho, Arseny Gritsyuk · Snap, 0.09 xG1–1
- P3 1:34NSHFilip ForsbergAssists: Adam Wilsby · Snap, 0.08 xG2–1
- P3 10:42NJDJesper BrattUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–2
- OT 0:42NJDNico HischierGWGAssists: Dawson Mercer · Slap, 0.06 xG2–3
Penalties (5)
- P2 2:50NSHAdam Wilsby: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:09NJDDougie Hamilton: Slashing2 min
- P3 6:08NSHCole Smith: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:35NJDArseny Gritsyuk: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:19NSHCole Smith: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Haula
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestO'Reilly – Forsberg – Evangelista12:25
xG 0.96–0.47 (67%)attempts 19–11goals 1–0
- Stamkos – Haula – Bunting8:26
xG 0.26–0.44 (37%)attempts 11–14goals 0–1
- Jost – Wiesblatt – Wood6:10
xG 0.05–0.24 (18%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- McCarron – Smith – Wiesblatt2:22
xG 0.05–0.26 (17%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPerbix – Wilsby11:52
xG 0.88–0.49 (64%)attempts 17–13goals 2–2
- Skjei – Blankenburg3:19
xG 0.05–0.17 (21%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Barron – Blankenburg9:12
xG 0.27–0.49 (36%)attempts 11–16goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestHischier – Gritsyuk – Hameenaho6:00
xG 0.37–0.00 (99%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Glendening – Brown – Cotter3:45
xG 0.26–0.06 (81%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Meier – Bratt – Hischier2:00
xG 0.27–0.16 (63%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Meier – Bratt – Mercer4:01
xG 0.16–0.15 (51%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Pesce13:32
xG 0.85–0.36 (70%)attempts 20–16goals 1–1
- Dillon – Kovacevic2:29
xG 0.27–0.16 (63%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Dillon – Nemec10:06
xG 0.46–0.40 (54%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).