Fri, Jan 30, 2026·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 114 | 29 | 13 | 426 |
| CHI | 18 | 18 | 08 | 224 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:13CBJCharlie CoylePPAssists: Zach Werenski, Kirill Marchenko · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–0
- P1 19:57CHIConnor BedardAssists: Alex Vlasic, Tyler Bertuzzi · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 1:23CBJCharlie CoyleUnassisted · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 6:47CBJMathieu OlivierGWGAssists: Charlie Coyle, Zach Werenski · Snap, 0.10 xG3–1
- P2 10:49CHIFrank NazarAssists: Connor Bedard, Tyler Bertuzzi · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–2
- P3 18:57CBJCharlie CoyleENAssists: Cole Sillinger, Mathieu Olivier · Wrist, 0.81 xG4–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 18:39CHIConnor Murphy: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 6:47CHIOliver Moore: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P2 13:11CBJDmitri Voronkov: Holding2 min
- P3 9:48CHIMatt Grzelcyk: Holding2 min
- P3 14:22CBJKent Johnson: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Greene
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Olivier – Sillinger11:26
xG 0.62–0.14 (81%)attempts 15–6goals 2–0
- Monahan – Lundeström – Johnson2:08
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Jenner – Monahan – Johnson6:47
xG 0.48–0.41 (54%)attempts 9–8goals 0–2
- Wood – Lundeström – Voronkov5:06
xG 0.05–0.09 (36%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Werenski20:32
xG 0.98–0.61 (62%)attempts 21–22goals 1–0
- Gudbranson – Christiansen7:24
xG 0.18–0.14 (56%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Provorov – Mateychuk12:45
xG 0.18–0.17 (51%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDickinson – Donato – Mikheyev10:31
xG 0.17–0.01 (92%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Lafferty – Slaggert – Moore6:25
xG 0.03–0.01 (66%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Burakovsky – Greene8:35
xG 0.24–0.37 (39%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Bertuzzi – Nazar – Bedard16:49
xG 0.60–1.13 (35%)attempts 16–22goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Crevier13:03
xG 0.36–0.20 (64%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Rinzel2:10
xG 0.16–0.09 (65%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Murphy – Kaiser2:24
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).