Sat, Jan 31, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Los Angeles Kings 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 210 | 04 | 06 | 11 | 321 |
| PHI | 06 | 110 | 15 | 00 | 221 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:10LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Alex Laferriere, Corey Perry · Snap, 0.19 xG1–0
- P1 7:08LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Corey Perry · Snap, 0.10 xG2–0
- P2 0:39PHITrevor ZegrasPPAssists: Bobby Brink, Travis Konecny · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
- P3 0:25PHITravis KonecnyAssists: Rasmus Ristolainen, Nikita Grebenkin · Tip-in, 0.05 xG2–2
- OT 2:48LAKQuinton ByfieldGWGAssists: Adrian Kempe, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.10 xG3–2
Penalties (4)
- P1 12:33PHIMatvei Michkov: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 14:59PHISean Couturier: Holding2 min
- P1 19:12LAKDrew Doughty: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 6:41LAKCody Ceci: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Kempe – Laferriere12:44
xG 0.70–0.43 (62%)attempts 16–8goals 2–0
- Kopitar – Armia – Moore11:02
xG 0.26–0.20 (57%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Malott – Helenius – Kuzmenko3:57
xG 0.16–0.13 (55%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Fiala – Byfield – Ward5:24
xG 0.04–0.11 (29%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Dumoulin – Ceci13:43
xG 0.41–0.48 (46%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Doughty – Anderson16:15
xG 0.69–0.78 (47%)attempts 18–15goals 1–1
- Edmundson – Clarke16:18
xG 0.20–0.53 (27%)attempts 15–15goals 0–0
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestZegras – Brink – Michkov7:24
xG 0.75–0.11 (88%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Dvorak – Konecny – Zegras2:02
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Couturier – Hathaway6:37
xG 0.17–0.09 (66%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Dvorak – Konecny – Barkey2:23
xG 0.00–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeeler – Juulsen9:59
xG 0.83–0.20 (81%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Ristolainen – Sanheim17:29
xG 0.48–0.33 (59%)attempts 13–9goals 1–1
- York – Drysdale17:43
xG 0.35–0.76 (31%)attempts 12–25goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).