Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 31, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Colorado Avalanche 5, Detroit Red Wings 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 68% of the time.

DET winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:48Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Gibson
  3. P1 4:27Shot by Kane, saved by Blackwood
  4. P1 5:52Shot by Brindley, saved by Gibson
  5. P1 6:44Goal by Burns (MacKinnon, Nichushkin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Johansson, Raymond, Kasper · COL Burns, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Malinski

  6. P1 7:21Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Blackwood
  7. P1 7:31Manson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Gustafsson, Copp, DeBrincat · COL Nelson, Manson, Olofsson, Girard, Kelly

  8. P1 7:59Shot by Raymond, saved by Blackwood5v4
  9. P1 9:01Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Gibson5v4
  10. P1 10:03Goal by MacKinnon (Lehkonen)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Compher, Appleton, Seider, Johansson, Finnie · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Makar, Malinski

  11. P1 12:37Shot by Malinski, saved by Gibson
  12. P1 12:48Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Blackwood
  13. P1 12:53Shot by Colton, saved by Gibson
  14. P1 13:34Shot by Chiarot, saved by Blackwood
  15. P1 13:59Shot by Johansson, saved by Blackwood
  16. P1 15:12Shot by Makar, saved by Gibson
  17. P1 15:45Kelly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Compher, Appleton, Seider, Johansson, Finnie · COL Burns, Middleton, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta

  18. P1 16:12Shot by Raymond, saved by Blackwood5v4
  19. P1 17:08Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Blackwood5v4
  20. P1 17:22Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Blackwood5v4
  21. P1 18:22Shot by Larkin, saved by Blackwood
  22. P1 18:31Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Blackwood
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:24Goal by Colton (Nelson, Manson)+9 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Copp, DeBrincat, Bernard-Docker · COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Olofsson, Colton

  26. P2 2:40Gustafsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Gustafsson, Rasmussen, Soderblom, Sandin-Pellikka · COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta

  27. P2 3:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson4v5
  28. P2 3:56Shot by Nelson, saved by Gibson4v5
  29. P2 4:32Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Gibson4v5
  30. P2 4:51Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Blackwood
  31. P2 5:26Shot by Olofsson, saved by Gibson
  32. P2 6:36Shot by Appleton, saved by Blackwood
  33. P2 7:23Shot by Kasper, saved by Blackwood
  34. P2 9:55Shot by Colton, saved by Gibson
  35. P2 11:51Shot by Soderblom, saved by Blackwood
  36. P2 12:21Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Blackwood
  37. P2 12:36Shot by Kane, saved by Blackwood
  38. P2 13:33Goal by MacKinnon (Lehkonen)+3 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Raymond, Kasper · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Makar, Malinski

  39. P2 15:29Shot by Malinski, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 16:10Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Blackwood
  41. P2 16:14Shot by Chiarot, saved by Blackwood
  42. P2 17:13Compher: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Gustafsson, Compher, Appleton, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta

  43. P2 18:57Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson4v5
  44. P2 19:50Shot by Compher, saved by Blackwood
  45. P2 19:52Nelson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Gustafsson, Compher, DeBrincat, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka · COL Burns, Nelson, MacKinnon, Girard, Colton

  46. P2 19:52Compher: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Gustafsson, Compher, DeBrincat, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka · COL Burns, Nelson, MacKinnon, Girard, Colton

  47. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:45Shot by Larkin, saved by Blackwood4v4
  50. P3 2:22Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Blackwood
  51. P3 2:53Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Blackwood
  52. P3 6:25Shot by Olofsson, saved by Talbot
  53. P3 6:41Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Blackwood
  54. P3 7:35Goal by Kelly (Kiviranta, Drury)0 pts WP

    On ice: DET Gustafsson, Compher, Appleton, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · COL Makar, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta, Malinski

  55. P3 8:30Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Talbot
  56. P3 8:56Shot by Larkin, saved by Blackwood
  57. P3 9:05Shot by Larkin, saved by Blackwood
  58. P3 9:50Shot by Manson, saved by Talbot
  59. P3 11:47Shot by Raymond, saved by Blackwood
  60. P3 12:05Shot by Kasper, saved by Blackwood
  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Final