Tue, Feb 3, 2026·Honda Center, Anaheim
Seattle Kraken 2, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 07 | 010 | 211 | 228 |
| ANA | 011 | 211 | 29 | 431 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:01ANACutter GauthierAssists: Jackson LaCombe, Mikael Granlund · Snap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 19:27ANAJacob TroubaAssists: Jansen Harkins, Ryan Poehling · Slap, 0.01 xG0–2
- P3 0:24ANAAlex KillornGWGAssists: Jackson LaCombe, Ian Moore · Snap, 0.03 xG0–3
- P3 13:54ANARoss JohnstonAssists: Jansen Harkins, Tim Washe · Snap, 0.22 xG0–4
- P3 15:31SEAJordan EberleAssists: Jared McCann, Vince Dunn · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–4
- P3 17:29SEATye KartyeUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–4
Penalties (8)
- P2 1:56SEAMatty Beniers: Holding2 min
- P2 0:00SEAJacob Melanson: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00ANAJacob Trouba: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00SEAJacob Melanson: Misconduct10 min
- P3 2:47SEABrandon Montour: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:38SEAJamie Oleksiak: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 5:40SEAAdam Larsson: Holding2 min
- P3 5:40ANAMikael Granlund: Embellishment2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Poehling won the faceoff against Stephenson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSchwartz – Kakko – Wright9:40
xG 0.51–0.42 (55%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
- Eberle – McCann – Beniers11:28
xG 0.43–0.43 (50%)attempts 11–11goals 1–1
- Gaudreau – Kartye – Melanson7:16
xG 0.33–0.51 (39%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Stephenson – Tolvanen – Winterton10:00
xG 0.45–1.05 (30%)attempts 10–17goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Montour15:42
xG 0.85–0.72 (54%)attempts 15–21goals 0–1
- Larsson – Dunn13:55
xG 0.72–0.72 (50%)attempts 18–17goals 1–1
- Oleksiak – Lindgren2:02
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKillorn – Granlund – Sennecke9:08
xG 0.76–0.37 (67%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Kreider – Terry – Poehling11:02
xG 0.61–0.34 (64%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Viel – McTavish – Gauthier11:58
xG 0.56–0.38 (59%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Johnston – Harkins – Washe8:13
xG 0.51–0.36 (59%)attempts 15–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGudas – Zellweger15:26
xG 0.92–0.48 (66%)attempts 26–16goals 1–0
- Trouba – LaCombe15:17
xG 0.74–0.47 (61%)attempts 20–10goals 1–1
- Moore – Mintyukov13:51
xG 0.89–0.74 (55%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).