Wed, Feb 4, 2026·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Boston Bruins 4, Florida Panthers 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 29 | 011 | 27 | 02 | 1 | 429 |
| FLA | 18 | 310 | 05 | 03 | 2 | 526 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:22FLAEetu LuostarinenUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 7:18BOSMichael EyssimontAssists: Alex Steeves, Hampus Lindholm · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 12:43BOSMichael EyssimontAssists: Marat Khusnutdinov, Andrew Peeke · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–1
- P2 0:30FLAUvis BalinskisPPAssists: Matthew Tkachuk, Anton Lundell · Snap, 0.10 xG2–2
- P2 2:47FLAMatthew TkachukPPAssists: Anton Lundell, Uvis Balinskis · Backhand, 0.04 xG2–3
- P2 18:33FLAAnton LundellSHAssists: Sam Reinhart · Tip-in, 0.07 xG2–4
- P3 7:52BOSMark KastelicAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Hampus Lindholm · Deflected, 0.13 xG3–4
- P3 10:30BOSCasey MittelstadtPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Morgan Geekie · Wrist, 0.15 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. FLA Anton Lundell scored
- 2. BOS Viktor Arvidsson scored
- 3. FLA Sam Reinhart stopped
- 4. BOS Marat Khusnutdinov stopped
- 5. FLA Matthew Tkachuk stopped
- 6. FLA Brad Marchand scored
- 7. BOS Casey Mittelstadt stopped
Penalties (18)
- P1 10:33BOSMichael Eyssimont: Unsportsmanlike conduct bench2 min
- P1 10:33FLASandis Vilmanis: Illegal check to head2 min
- P1 10:33BOSJonathan Aspirot: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:06FLAAaron Ekblad: Interference2 min
- P1 19:07BOSMatthew Poitras: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 19:07FLASam Reinhart: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 19:07BOSTanner Jeannot: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 19:07FLAA.J. Greer: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:00BOSNikita Zadorov: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:22BOSViktor Arvidsson: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:25FLAEetu Luostarinen: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 15:06FLANiko Mikkola: Cross checking2 min
- P2 16:59FLAEetu Luostarinen: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:23FLAEvan Rodrigues: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:23BOSMichael Eyssimont: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:50FLAGustav Forsling: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:21FLACarter Verhaeghe: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 15:43FLAEetu Luostarinen: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lundell won the faceoff against Khusnutdinov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestArvidsson – Mittelstadt – Minten8:52
xG 0.42–0.34 (55%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Eyssimont – Steeves5:31
xG 0.06–0.11 (36%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
- Jeannot – Kastelic – Poitras7:55
xG 0.02–0.25 (8%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Geekie – Khusnutdinov10:00
xG 0.14–0.40 (26%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Lohrei8:21
xG 0.51–0.13 (79%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Lindholm – McAvoy5:39
xG 0.13–0.01 (90%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Aspirot – Lohrei2:37
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestSchwindt – Samoskevich – Vilmanis2:04
xG 0.31–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Marchand – Verhaeghe – Rodrigues5:10
xG 0.22–0.09 (70%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Bennett – Tkachuk – Luostarinen3:32
xG 0.25–0.13 (66%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
- Verhaeghe – Reinhart – Lundell5:14
xG 0.14–0.07 (67%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkblad – Forsling12:58
xG 0.75–0.31 (71%)attempts 15–12goals 0–1
- Petry – Bjornfot7:38
xG 0.38–0.17 (69%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Petry – Forsling3:19
xG 0.11–0.04 (72%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).