Wed, Feb 4, 2026·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Seattle Kraken 4, Los Angeles Kings 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 311 | 04 | 18 | 423 |
| LAK | 18 | 111 | 08 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:42LAKAndrei KuzmenkoPPAssists: Brandt Clarke, Kevin Fiala · Snap, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 9:16SEAShane WrightAssists: Ryan Winterton · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–1
- P1 10:14SEAAdam LarssonAssists: Chandler Stephenson, Frederick Gaudreau · Snap, 0.17 xG2–1
- P1 15:21SEAVince DunnPPGWGAssists: Jared McCann, Chandler Stephenson · Backhand, 0.10 xG3–1
- P2 10:27LAKAndrei KuzmenkoPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–2
- P3 5:50SEAShane WrightPPAssists: Frederick Gaudreau, Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.17 xG4–2
Penalties (13)
- P1 3:16SEAJacob Melanson: Roughing2 min
- P1 3:16LAKJeff Malott: Roughing2 min
- P1 7:08SEAJordan Eberle: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 14:31LAKBrandt Clarke: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 18:13LAKAdrian Kempe: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:37LAKQuinton Byfield: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:46SEARyker Evans: Closing hand on puck2 min · PPG
- P3 0:56SEAJamie Oleksiak: High sticking2 min
- P3 4:08LAKJoel Armia: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:10LAKBrandt Clarke: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 9:10SEAVince Dunn: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 11:46SEAKaapo Kakko: Holding2 min
- P3 15:39LAKAdrian Kempe: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestKakko – Winterton – Wright9:02
xG 0.42–0.25 (63%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Stephenson – Gaudreau – Tolvanen10:03
xG 0.49–0.41 (55%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Eberle – McCann – Beniers9:23
xG 0.19–0.25 (43%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Kartye – Melanson – Fisker Molgaard5:46
xG 0.03–0.20 (11%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn12:50
xG 0.57–0.35 (62%)attempts 13–14goals 1–0
- Oleksiak – Montour12:12
xG 0.41–0.23 (64%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Lindgren2:44
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Kempe – Laferriere5:27
xG 0.40–0.25 (61%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
- Kopitar – Armia – Moore7:12
xG 0.12–0.08 (59%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Fiala – Byfield – Kuzmenko8:36
xG 0.26–0.23 (52%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Malott – Helenius – Ward5:31
xG 0.19–0.27 (41%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMoverare – Clarke2:24
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Doughty – Dumoulin6:45
xG 0.13–0.03 (83%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Ceci4:25
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).