Thu, Feb 5, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Los Angeles Kings 1, Vegas Golden Knights 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 111 | 010 | 012 | 133 |
| VGK | 410 | 05 | 07 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:22VGKJack EichelAssists: Mark Stone, Ivan Barbashev · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 11:49VGKMark StoneGWGAssists: Ivan Barbashev, Jack Eichel · Backhand, 0.10 xG0–2
- P1 13:29VGKPavel DorofeyevPPAssists: Mark Stone, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–3
- P1 13:49VGKMitch MarnerAssists: Pavel Dorofeyev · Slap, 0.10 xG0–4
- P1 15:03LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Joel Armia, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 8:45VGKKeegan Kolesar: Tripping2 min
- P1 13:15LAKAdrian Kempe: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 13:51VGKKai Uchacz: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:51LAKSamuel Helenius: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:35VGKShea Theodore: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:59VGKIvan Barbashev: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:03VGKMitch Marner: Abuse of officials2 min
- P3 6:49VGKKaedan Korczak: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:06LAKQuinton Byfield: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Eichel won the faceoff against Kempe
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Kempe – Laferriere4:32
xG 0.43–0.19 (70%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield3:06
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Malott – Helenius – Ward5:08
xG 0.06–0.10 (38%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe2:58
xG 0.02–0.06 (26%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCeci – Moverare4:55
xG 0.33–0.21 (61%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Doughty – Dumoulin13:33
xG 0.74–0.63 (54%)attempts 15–9goals 0–1
- Moverare – Clarke4:10
xG 0.11–0.06 (64%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestStone – Barbashev – Eichel12:48
xG 0.93–0.44 (68%)attempts 12–16goals 2–1
- Reinhardt – Bowman – Uchacz9:28
xG 0.17–0.13 (57%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Hertl – Kolesar – Holtz9:18
xG 0.18–0.43 (30%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Smith – Marner – Dorofeyev11:12
xG 0.35–0.79 (31%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLauzon – Korczak2:56
xG 0.47–0.22 (68%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Hutton – Korczak6:29
xG 0.47–0.24 (67%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Hanifin – Korczak2:57
xG 0.07–0.04 (66%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).