Wed, Feb 25, 2026·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Vegas Golden Knights 6, Los Angeles Kings 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 18 | 07 | 510 | 625 |
| LAK | 16 | 15 | 28 | 419 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:59VGKPavel DorofeyevAssists: Tanner Laczynski, Reilly Smith · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 14:31LAKQuinton ByfieldPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Brandt Clarke · Deflected, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 14:44LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Anze Kopitar, Artemi Panarin · Snap, 0.15 xG1–2
- P3 8:07VGKColton SissonsAssists: Braeden Bowman, Adin Hill · Backhand, 0.06 xG2–2
- P3 11:16VGKBrandon SaadAssists: Colton Sissons, Alexander Holtz · Snap, 0.09 xG3–2
- P3 12:21VGKReilly SmithAssists: Tanner Laczynski, Brayden McNabb · Backhand, 0.07 xG4–2
- P3 13:26LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Andrei Kuzmenko · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–3
- P3 15:59VGKPavel DorofeyevPPGWGAssists: Tanner Laczynski, Braeden Bowman · Wrist, 0.21 xG5–3
- P3 18:54LAKBrandt ClarkeAssists: Adrian Kempe, Andrei Kuzmenko · Slap, 0.05 xG5–4
- P3 19:32VGKIvan BarbashevENAssists: Tomas Hertl, Brayden McNabb · Wrist, 0.63 xG6–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 13:51VGKRasmus Andersson: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 11:47LAKCorey Perry: Instigator2 min
- P2 11:47VGKJeremy Lauzon: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:47LAKCorey Perry: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:47LAKCorey Perry: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P3 15:10LAKArtemi Panarin: Roughing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestReinhardt – Holtz – Uchacz2:34
xG 0.34–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Saad – Sissons – Holtz7:36
xG 0.33–0.04 (89%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Hertl – Barbashev – Kolesar13:36
xG 0.72–0.45 (62%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Smith – Laczynski – Dorofeyev11:45
xG 0.36–0.52 (41%)attempts 14–10goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcNabb – Korczak17:10
xG 1.00–0.54 (65%)attempts 21–16goals 2–1
- Hutton – Coghlan12:49
xG 0.77–0.42 (65%)attempts 21–10goals 2–0
- Andersson – Lauzon17:10
xG 0.52–0.65 (45%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Moore – Byfield12:37
xG 0.43–0.17 (72%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Kempe – Panarin – Laferriere14:33
xG 0.76–0.54 (58%)attempts 18–13goals 0–1
- Foegele – Turcotte – Kuzmenko8:14
xG 0.31–0.16 (65%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
- Perry – Armia – Helenius5:12
xG 0.02–0.44 (4%)attempts 1–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Dumoulin14:31
xG 0.83–0.29 (74%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson2:00
xG 0.13–0.08 (63%)attempts 1–1goals 1–0
- Ceci – Anderson15:58
xG 0.47–1.01 (32%)attempts 16–22goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).