Thu, Feb 26, 2026·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Boston Bruins 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 120 | 09 | 111 | 240 |
| BOS | 110 | 18 | 25 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:32CBJKirill MarchenkoAssists: Mason Marchment, Adam Fantilli · Snap, 0.15 xG1–0
- P1 15:51BOSViktor ArvidssonAssists: Jonathan Aspirot · Snap, 0.01 xG1–1
- P2 6:54BOSMorgan GeekiePPAssists: David Pastrnak, Elias Lindholm · Slap, 0.08 xG1–2
- P3 11:15BOSSean KuralyGWGAssists: Tanner Jeannot · Slap, 0.07 xG1–3
- P3 13:45CBJAdam FantilliAssists: Mason Marchment, Zach Werenski · Snap, 0.08 xG2–3
- P3 19:27BOSViktor ArvidssonENAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Casey Mittelstadt · Snap, 0.57 xG2–4
Penalties (4)
- P1 10:38CBJKirill Marchenko: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:51BOSMichael Eyssimont: Holding2 min
- P2 6:13CBJMiles Wood: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P3 8:31CBJMason Marchment: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Minten
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMonahan – Voronkov – Johnson9:35
xG 0.63–0.34 (65%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Coyle – Olivier – Sillinger10:51
xG 1.00–0.81 (55%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Marchment – Marchenko – Fantilli14:39
xG 0.96–0.85 (53%)attempts 18–13goals 2–1
- Jenner – Wood – Lundeström8:46
xG 0.24–0.43 (36%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Werenski20:10
xG 2.20–0.81 (73%)attempts 37–17goals 2–2
- Provorov – Mateychuk12:11
xG 0.44–0.30 (60%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Fabbro9:53
xG 0.29–0.36 (45%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestLindholm – Pastrnak – Khusnutdinov8:47
xG 0.80–0.42 (66%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt9:53
xG 0.35–0.44 (44%)attempts 11–9goals 1–1
- Eyssimont – Geekie – Minten7:16
xG 0.33–0.44 (42%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Pastrnak – Geekie4:12
xG 0.10–0.26 (29%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcAvoy – Aspirot16:23
xG 1.02–0.87 (54%)attempts 17–20goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Aspirot2:19
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Lohrei14:41
xG 0.27–0.58 (32%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).