Thu, Feb 26, 2026·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Nashville Predators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 09 | 15 | 19 | 223 |
| NSH | 18 | 012 | 36 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:50NSHFilip ForsbergUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 4:13CHIConnor BedardAssists: Ryan Greene · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P3 3:16CHITyler BertuzziPPAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Sam Rinzel · Snap, 0.27 xG2–1
- P3 7:12NSHMatthew WoodPPAssists: Erik Haula · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
- P3 16:44NSHRyan O'ReillyGWGAssists: Roman Josi · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–3
- P3 19:12NSHSteven StamkosENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.69 xG2–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:26NSHNick Perbix: High sticking2 min
- P1 6:00NSHErik Haula: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 1:25NSHAdam Wilsby: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 5:17CHINick Foligno: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 12:58NSHMichael McCarron: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:58CHISam Rinzel: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:58NSHMichael McCarron: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00O'Reilly won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBertuzzi – Nazar – Moore8:26
xG 0.36–0.24 (60%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
- Burakovsky – Greene – Bedard11:20
xG 0.43–0.48 (47%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Foligno – Teravainen – Slaggert9:09
xG 0.02–0.26 (7%)attempts 3–7goals 0–1
- Dickinson – Donato – Mikheyev10:15
xG 0.11–0.81 (12%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Vlasic – Levshunov2:21
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Rinzel2:25
xG 0.06–0.10 (38%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Levshunov10:28
xG 0.25–0.32 (43%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestStamkos – O'Reilly – Evangelista10:30
xG 0.73–0.45 (62%)attempts 12–7goals 1–1
- Jost – L'Heureux – Wood6:28
xG 0.09–0.00 (96%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- McCarron – Bunting – Smith6:25
xG 0.06–0.09 (40%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Haula – Marchessault – Forsberg10:54
xG 0.21–0.46 (31%)attempts 5–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestJosi – Wilsby2:46
xG 0.46–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Hague – Wilsby2:18
xG 0.37–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Hague – Blankenburg9:42
xG 0.29–0.03 (90%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).