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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 3, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Utah Mammoth 3, Washington Capitals 2

Away

Utah Mammoth

3

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 66% of the time.

WSH winsUTA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:16Shot by Peterka, saved by Thompson
  3. P1 4:17Shot by Peterka, saved by Thompson
  4. P1 5:18Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Thompson
  5. P1 7:01Shot by Marino, saved by Thompson
  6. P1 8:06Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vejmelka
  7. P1 8:11Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vejmelka
  8. P1 10:41Shot by Sergachev, saved by Thompson
  9. P1 11:12Goal by Guenther (Keller, Schmaltz)+16 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Chychrun, Dubois, Leonard · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Durzi, Guenther

  10. P1 12:29Ovechkin: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Beauvillier, Fehérváry, Sandin · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Keller, Yamamoto, Hayton, McBain

  11. P1 13:23Goal by Sergachev (Keller, Guenther)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Sandin, McMichael · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Hayton, Guenther

  12. P1 14:10Shot by Duhaime, saved by Vejmelka
  13. P1 16:01Shot by Guenther, saved by Thompson
  14. P1 17:28Kerfoot: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: WSH van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Sourdif, Lapierre, Leonard · UTA Kerfoot, Crouse, Stenlund, Sergachev, Durzi

  15. P1 17:49Shot by Chychrun, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  16. P1 18:24Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  17. P1 19:27Goal by Dubois (Sandin)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Roy, Dubois, Sandin, McMichael, Frank · UTA Cole, Schmidt, Crouse, Hayton

  18. P1 19:54Shot by Durzi, saved by Thompson
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:46Shot by Sergachev, saved by Thompson
  22. P2 0:53Shot by Peterka, saved by Thompson
  23. P2 3:14Shot by Sandin, saved by Vejmelka
  24. P2 4:02Shot by Crouse, saved by Thompson
  25. P2 6:16Shot by Lapierre, saved by Vejmelka
  26. P2 7:36Shot by Sourdif, saved by Vejmelka
  27. P2 8:17Shot by Chychrun, saved by Vejmelka
  28. P2 9:34Shot by Keller, saved by Thompson
  29. P2 9:43Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Thompson
  30. P2 10:02Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Vejmelka
  31. P2 12:48Shot by Dubois, saved by Vejmelka
  32. P2 13:15Shot by Guenther, saved by Thompson
  33. P2 14:20Shot by Cooley, saved by Thompson
  34. P2 16:44Chychrun: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Strome, Roy, Chychrun, Duhaime, Sourdif · UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Guenther

  35. P2 18:24Goal by Peterka (Cooley, Durzi)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: WSH van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Sandin, McMichael · UTA Crouse, Carcone, Durzi, Peterka, Cooley

  36. P2 18:56Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vejmelka
  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:52Shot by Crouse, saved by Thompson
  40. P3 5:40Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Vejmelka
  41. P3 6:00Shot by Wilson, saved by Vejmelka
  42. P3 6:00Shot by Wilson, saved by Vejmelka
  43. P3 6:02McBain: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Chychrun, Dubois, McMichael · UTA Sergachev, Yamamoto, Durzi, Hayton, McBain

  44. P3 6:31Goal by Leonard (Strome, Chychrun)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Leonard · UTA Cole, Crouse, Stenlund, Sergachev

  45. P3 6:51Shot by Sandin, saved by Vejmelka
  46. P3 6:52Shot by Dubois, saved by Vejmelka
  47. P3 6:53Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Vejmelka
  48. P3 7:48Shot by Peterka, saved by Thompson
  49. P3 8:07Shot by Sergachev, saved by Thompson
  50. P3 9:59Shot by Sandin, saved by Vejmelka
  51. P3 11:12Shot by McBain, saved by Thompson
  52. P3 11:13Shot by McBain, saved by Thompson
  53. P3 12:12Shot by Roy, saved by Vejmelka
  54. P3 12:27Shot by McMichael, saved by Vejmelka
  55. P3 13:12Shot by Dubois, saved by Vejmelka
  56. P3 14:07Shot by Keller, saved by Thompson
  57. P3 16:42Shot by Leonard, saved by Vejmelka
  58. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  59. P3 0:00Final6v5