Fri, Mar 6, 2026·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 6, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 37 | 06 | 39 | 622 |
| CHI | 27 | 110 | 06 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:08CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Frank Nazar · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 2:08VANDrew O'ConnorAssists: Tom Willander, Marcus Pettersson · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–1
- P1 2:32VANJake DeBruskAssists: Zeev Buium, Elias Pettersson · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–1
- P1 6:32VANTeddy BluegerAssists: Marcus Pettersson, Max Sasson · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–1
- P1 12:00CHIIlya MikheyevAssists: Oliver Moore, Tyler Bertuzzi · Snap, 0.13 xG3–2
- P2 19:17CHIFrank NazarAssists: Alex Vlasic, Ilya Mikheyev · Tip-in, 0.08 xG3–3
- P3 2:40VANBrock BoeserPPGWGAssists: Linus Karlsson, Jake DeBrusk · Bat, 0.10 xG4–3
- P3 18:34VANMax SassonENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.73 xG5–3
- P3 19:44VANBrock BoeserENAssists: Marco Rossi, Filip Hronek · Wrist, 0.31 xG6–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 14:38VANAatu Räty: Interference2 min
- P1 18:30VANZeev Buium: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:00CHISam Rinzel: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:11VANFilip Hronek: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:11CHIAndrew Mangiapane: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:46CHIEthan Del Mastro: Holding2 min
- P2 10:09VANTom Willander: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:05CHIRyan Donato: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:36CHIAlex Vlasic: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Blueger won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBlueger – Karlsson – Sasson7:14
xG 0.31–0.18 (63%)attempts 5–4goals 1–1
- Boeser – Rossi – Ohgren8:58
xG 0.35–0.40 (47%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- DeBrusk – Pettersson – Hoglander6:25
xG 0.25–0.35 (41%)attempts 7–4goals 1–2
- Kane – O'Connor – Räty6:35
xG 0.10–0.81 (10%)attempts 1–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Pettersson14:07
xG 0.65–0.28 (70%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Pettersson – Hronek2:05
xG 0.00–0.21 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Willander15:05
xG 0.32–0.74 (30%)attempts 10–15goals 2–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBurakovsky – Greene – Bedard12:55
xG 0.57–0.32 (64%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Mikheyev – Moore4:19
xG 0.36–0.26 (58%)attempts 5–6goals 1–1
- Teravainen – Donato – Nazar6:46
xG 0.26–0.18 (60%)attempts 5–2goals 1–1
- Mangiapane – Slaggert – Moore4:25
xG 0.20–0.14 (59%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – Del Mastro2:40
xG 0.57–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Crevier10:04
xG 0.82–0.26 (76%)attempts 11–8goals 2–1
- Vlasic – Levshunov2:28
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).