Sat, Mar 7, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
New York Rangers 3, New Jersey Devils 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 28 | 15 | 07 | 320 |
| NJD | 26 | 114 | 315 | 635 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:06NJDJesper BrattAssists: Cody Glass, Johnathan Kovacevic · Snap, 0.15 xG0–1
- P1 6:26NYRWill BorgenAssists: Vincent Trocheck · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P1 8:36NYRVladislav GavrikovAssists: Noah Laba, Tye Kartye · Slap, 0.05 xG2–1
- P1 19:47NJDDawson MercerPPAssists: Luke Hughes, Arseny Gritsyuk · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–2
- P2 15:52NJDJack HughesPPAssists: Jesper Bratt, Dougie Hamilton · Slap, 0.06 xG2–3
- P2 16:53NYRWill CuylleAssists: Braden Schneider, Taylor Raddysh · Slap, 0.27 xG3–3
- P3 8:05NJDNico HischierPPGWGAssists: Jesper Bratt, Jack Hughes · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–4
- P3 16:56NJDJack HughesAssists: Connor Brown · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–5
- P3 19:28NJDJack HughesENAssists: Connor Brown, Johnathan Kovacevic · Wrist, 0.78 xG3–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 3:18NJDNick Bjugstad: High sticking2 min
- P1 18:06NYRVladislav Gavrikov: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 9:18NJDJack Hughes: Interference2 min
- P2 13:52NYRVincent Trocheck: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 2:21NJDArseny Gritsyuk: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:21NYRJuuso Parssinen: Interference2 min
- P3 2:21NJDArseny Gritsyuk: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:19NYRWill Cuylle: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 10:57NJDBrenden Dillon: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestParssinen – Edstrom – Chmelar5:40
xG 0.25–0.07 (79%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Zibanejad – Lafrenière – Perreault11:17
xG 0.29–0.37 (44%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
- Sheary – Kartye – Laba9:17
xG 0.17–0.40 (30%)attempts 5–12goals 1–1
- Trocheck – Raddysh – Cuylle9:53
xG 0.48–0.90 (35%)attempts 9–11goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestRobertson – Schneider3:58
xG 0.27–0.03 (91%)attempts 1–3goals 1–0
- Borgen – Fox2:53
xG 0.16–0.13 (54%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Borgen – Schneider6:28
xG 0.24–0.35 (40%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMeier – Hischier – Mercer11:36
xG 0.54–0.28 (66%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Bratt – Glass – Hameenaho7:08
xG 0.36–0.16 (69%)attempts 4–7goals 1–1
- Brown – Hughes – Gritsyuk7:49
xG 0.32–0.32 (50%)attempts 6–5goals 1–1
- Bjugstad – Cotter – Tsyplakov3:34
xG 0.14–0.29 (32%)attempts 4–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Nemec13:34
xG 0.70–0.33 (68%)attempts 14–5goals 1–0
- Hughes – Nemec2:21
xG 0.30–0.04 (87%)attempts 5–1goals 0–1
- Kovacevic – Hughes13:44
xG 0.47–0.33 (59%)attempts 12–11goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).