Sun, Mar 8, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
Detroit Red Wings 3, New Jersey Devils 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 19 | 19 | 112 | 330 |
| NJD | 012 | 09 | 010 | 031 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:20DETMoritz SeiderGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Andrew Copp · Wrist, 0.00 xG1–0
- P2 6:37DETJames van RiemsdykPPAssists: Moritz Seider, Patrick Kane · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–0
- P3 10:24DETDominik ShineAssists: James van Riemsdyk, Moritz Seider · Snap, 0.12 xG3–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 4:43NJDLuke Hughes: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:20DETAndrew Copp: Slashing2 min
- P1 12:39NJDArseny Gritsyuk: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 0:29DETAndrew Copp: High sticking2 min
- P2 5:43NJDJohnathan Kovacevic: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 13:35NJDBrenden Dillon: Interference2 min
- P2 19:55DETBen Chiarot: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:55NJDTimo Meier: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:45NJDSimon Nemec: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Copp won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestRaymond – Kasper – Finnie8:02
xG 0.95–0.23 (80%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Compher – Appleton – Brandsegg-Nygård8:50
xG 0.27–0.15 (64%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Shine – Rasmussen4:34
xG 0.19–0.10 (65%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Kane – Copp – DeBrincat10:42
xG 0.48–0.48 (50%)attempts 16–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeider – Edvinsson14:07
xG 1.38–0.20 (87%)attempts 20–8goals 1–0
- Bernard-Docker – Johansson9:46
xG 0.08–0.25 (24%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Chiarot – Faulk14:38
xG 0.24–0.72 (25%)attempts 7–22goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMeier – Hischier – Mercer8:07
xG 0.33–0.23 (59%)attempts 8–12goals 0–1
- Brown – Hughes – Gritsyuk6:17
xG 0.30–0.22 (57%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Glass – Gritsyuk – Hameenaho2:18
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Bratt – Glass – Hameenaho3:55
xG 0.20–0.15 (57%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHughes – Nemec5:40
xG 0.30–0.06 (84%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler7:53
xG 0.20–0.16 (56%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- Kovacevic – Hughes10:16
xG 0.31–0.30 (51%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).