Tue, Mar 10, 2026·TD Garden, Boston
Los Angeles Kings 1, Boston Bruins 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 05 | 03 | 18 | 00 | 116 |
| BOS | 03 | 09 | 110 | 11 | 223 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 8:22BOSMason LohreiAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Viktor Arvidsson · Snap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P3 14:00LAKDrew DoughtyAssists: Trevor Moore, Adrian Kempe · Slap, 0.01 xG1–1
- OT 0:39BOSCharlie McAvoyGWGAssists: David Pastrnak, Mark Kastelic · Backhand, 0.17 xG1–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 10:19LAKCody Ceci: Interference2 min
- P1 11:03BOSCharlie McAvoy: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:08LAKAdrian Kempe: Interference2 min
- P2 9:43BOSHampus Lindholm: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:25LAKSamuel Helenius: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:25BOSNikita Zadorov: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:43LAKBrandt Clarke: Interference2 min
- P3 15:43LAKQuinton Byfield: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Byfield won the faceoff against Lindholm
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestMalott – Helenius – Ward6:29
xG 0.37–0.15 (71%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Moore – Byfield – Laferriere12:17
xG 0.62–0.42 (60%)attempts 15–9goals 1–1
- Kopitar – Kempe – Panarin12:24
xG 0.50–0.59 (46%)attempts 13–16goals 0–0
- Laughton – Turcotte – Wright8:26
xG 0.09–0.31 (23%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson16:59
xG 0.82–0.66 (55%)attempts 23–14goals 1–1
- Edmundson – Clarke13:01
xG 0.57–0.63 (48%)attempts 17–17goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Ceci11:24
xG 0.06–0.64 (9%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Jeannot – Kastelic8:43
xG 0.49–0.15 (76%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Eyssimont – Geekie – Minten7:19
xG 0.46–0.22 (67%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt9:56
xG 0.34–0.37 (48%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Pastrnak – Khusnutdinov10:26
xG 0.42–0.65 (39%)attempts 7–17goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMcAvoy – Aspirot12:49
xG 0.77–0.52 (60%)attempts 14–15goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Lohrei11:52
xG 0.40–0.23 (63%)attempts 11–11goals 1–1
- Zadorov – Peeke13:11
xG 0.47–0.63 (43%)attempts 14–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).