Thu, Mar 12, 2026·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Nashville Predators 3, Vancouver Canucks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 15 | 28 | 03 | 03 | 0 | 319 |
| VAN | 112 | 06 | 27 | 02 | 1 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:40VANBrock BoeserAssists: Marco Rossi, Filip Hronek · Tip-in, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 18:28NSHTyson JostAssists: Justin Barron, Fedor Svechkov · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–1
- P2 5:20NSHTyson JostAssists: Roman Josi, Ryan Ufko · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–1
- P2 14:06NSHMatthew WoodUnassisted · Snap, 0.02 xG3–1
- P3 15:55VANMarco RossiAssists: Liam Ohgren · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 18:59VANFilip HronekAssists: Brock Boeser, Marco Rossi · Snap, 0.10 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. VAN Liam Ohgren stopped
- 2. NSH Ryan O'Reilly stopped
- 3. VAN Jake DeBrusk scored
- 4. NSH Filip Forsberg stopped
- 5. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 6. NSH Steven Stamkos stopped
Penalties (5)
- P2 10:14VANMarco Rossi: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:14NSHTyson Jost: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:14VANMarco Rossi: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:28NSHRyan O'Reilly: Slashing2 min
- P2 15:32VANCurtis Douglas: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pettersson won the faceoff against Haula
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestJost – Wiesblatt – Svechkov9:14
xG 0.91–0.32 (74%)attempts 10–6goals 2–0
- L'Heureux – Schaefer – Wood6:12
xG 0.16–0.25 (39%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Haula – Forsberg – Evangelista2:58
xG 0.14–0.34 (29%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- O'Reilly – Marchessault – Forsberg9:32
xG 0.23–0.45 (34%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJosi – Ufko5:13
xG 0.25–0.12 (67%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Skjei – Barron4:47
xG 0.16–0.08 (66%)attempts 3–3goals 1–1
- Perbix – Ufko6:18
xG 0.16–0.31 (34%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Pettersson – O'Connor12:00
xG 0.89–0.18 (83%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
- Boeser – Rossi – Ohgren9:32
xG 0.72–0.29 (71%)attempts 12–4goals 2–1
- Blueger – Karlsson – Sasson10:43
xG 0.37–0.14 (73%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- DeBrusk – Douglas – Räty6:05
xG 0.33–0.61 (35%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Buium7:25
xG 0.97–0.01 (99%)attempts 16–1goals 2–0
- Hronek – Pettersson11:44
xG 0.66–0.18 (79%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Willander18:18
xG 0.63–0.20 (76%)attempts 16–10goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).