Fri, Mar 13, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Los Angeles Kings 3, New York Islanders 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 310 | 013 | 04 | 327 |
| NYI | 04 | 18 | 111 | 223 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:33LAKTrevor MooreUnassisted · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 13:07LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Mikey Anderson, Alex Turcotte · Wrist, 0.28 xG2–0
- P1 18:28LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–0
- P2 10:46NYIEmil HeinemanAssists: Adam Pelech, Bo Horvat · Tip-in, 0.05 xG3–1
- P3 3:38NYIEmil HeinemanAssists: Matthew Schaefer, Bo Horvat · Deflected, 0.09 xG3–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 0:15NYIBrayden Schenn: Tripping2 min
- P1 7:37NYIBo Horvat: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:27LAKBrian Dumoulin: Holding2 min
- P1 19:00LAKDrew Doughty: Cross checking2 min
- P2 12:33NYICarson Soucy: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:22LAKTaylor Ward: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:22NYIMatthew Schaefer: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:56LAKScott Laughton: High sticking2 min
- P3 19:56LAKScott Laughton: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Byfield won the faceoff against Schenn
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Panarin10:37
xG 0.80–0.64 (56%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- Moore – Byfield – Laferriere9:16
xG 0.38–0.23 (62%)attempts 16–10goals 1–1
- Malott – Helenius – Ward5:37
xG 0.02–0.01 (54%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Laughton – Turcotte – Wright8:32
xG 0.17–0.44 (27%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Edmundson – Clarke12:35
xG 0.61–0.56 (52%)attempts 14–15goals 1–2
- Doughty – Anderson16:25
xG 0.65–0.60 (52%)attempts 12–23goals 1–0
- Dumoulin – Ceci10:03
xG 0.47–0.51 (48%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestHorvat – Barzal – Heineman7:26
xG 0.61–0.05 (92%)attempts 10–5goals 2–0
- Lee – Pageau – Holmstrom10:26
xG 0.47–0.13 (78%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Schenn – Palat – Barzal5:49
xG 0.23–0.14 (63%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Schenn – Ritchie – Shabanov2:02
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPelech – Schaefer2:11
xG 0.32–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- DeAngelo – Schaefer3:40
xG 0.35–0.03 (92%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Pulock – Schaefer15:02
xG 0.74–0.69 (52%)attempts 18–16goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).