Sat, Mar 14, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
Los Angeles Kings 4, New Jersey Devils 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 011 | 313 | 17 | 431 |
| NJD | 214 | 04 | 410 | 628 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:58NJDCody GlassAssists: Arseny Gritsyuk · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 11:04NJDNico HischierAssists: Timo Meier, Luke Hughes · Snap, 0.18 xG0–2
- P2 4:15LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Brandt Clarke, Artemi Panarin · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–2
- P2 6:03LAKArtemi PanarinAssists: Joel Edmundson, Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–2
- P2 11:43LAKTaylor WardAssists: Brandt Clarke, Samuel Helenius · Slap, 0.03 xG3–2
- P3 0:25NJDArseny GritsyukAssists: Lenni Hameenaho, Dougie Hamilton · Tip-in, 0.09 xG3–3
- P3 12:42NJDNico HischierPPAssists: Connor Brown, Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.32 xG3–4
- P3 13:42LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Brandt Clarke · Snap, 0.11 xG4–4
- P3 17:31NJDJack HughesPPGWGAssists: Nico Hischier, Dougie Hamilton · Snap, 0.12 xG4–5
- P3 19:52NJDTimo MeierENAssists: Nico Hischier · Snap, 0.49 xG4–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 18:29LAKDrew Doughty: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:32NJDDougie Hamilton: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 0:50NJDJesper Bratt: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:38LAKQuinton Byfield: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 13:04NJDLenni Hameenaho: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 17:24LAKBrandt Clarke: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Glass won the faceoff against Byfield
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestMalott – Helenius – Ward8:38
xG 0.79–0.18 (82%)attempts 15–5goals 1–0
- Laughton – Joseph – Wright10:53
xG 0.44–0.16 (73%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Moore – Byfield – Laferriere12:07
xG 0.60–0.51 (54%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Kopitar – Kempe – Panarin12:30
xG 0.79–0.76 (51%)attempts 14–15goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson17:39
xG 0.70–0.23 (75%)attempts 14–11goals 0–1
- Edmundson – Clarke15:20
xG 1.22–0.76 (62%)attempts 25–22goals 2–1
- Dumoulin – Ceci11:52
xG 0.91–0.61 (60%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Bratt – Hischier2:45
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Cotter – Tsyplakov6:55
xG 0.44–0.43 (51%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Glass – Gritsyuk – Hameenaho10:35
xG 0.24–0.34 (41%)attempts 10–7goals 2–0
- Meier – Hughes – Mercer4:08
xG 0.21–0.33 (39%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSiegenthaler – Kovacevic4:13
xG 0.24–0.17 (59%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Hughes4:12
xG 0.06–0.15 (29%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Hughes – Nemec2:32
xG 0.04–0.14 (21%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).