Sat, Mar 14, 2026·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Seattle Kraken 5, Vancouver Canucks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 210 | 111 | 212 | 533 |
| VAN | 115 | 011 | 18 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:12SEAJared McCannAssists: Brandon Montour, Jordan Eberle · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 11:42VANEvander KaneAssists: Drew O'Connor, Zeev Buium · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–1
- P1 19:10SEABobby McMannPPAssists: Eeli Tolvanen, Shane Wright · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–1
- P2 5:06SEAJamie OleksiakGWGAssists: Matty Beniers, Brandon Montour · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–1
- P3 4:14SEABobby McMannAssists: Jordan Eberle, Matty Beniers · Tip-in, 0.08 xG4–1
- P3 9:58SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Jordan Eberle, Bobby McMann · Wrist, 0.18 xG5–1
- P3 19:40VANMarco RossiAssists: Brock Boeser · Wrist, 0.09 xG5–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 18:43VANTom Willander: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 1:45SEARyker Evans: High sticking2 min
- P3 7:29SEARyan Lindgren: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:31VANNikita Tolopilo: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 15:03VANTom Willander: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Blueger
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Winterton – Meyers9:44
xG 0.57–0.16 (79%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Eberle – McMann – Beniers12:35
xG 0.29–0.26 (53%)attempts 8–7goals 2–0
- Kakko – Wright – Catton6:32
xG 0.30–0.34 (47%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Stephenson – McCann – Tolvanen11:45
xG 0.46–0.68 (40%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Montour – Lindgren15:31
xG 0.57–0.53 (52%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
- Larsson – Dunn13:51
xG 0.73–1.19 (38%)attempts 16–20goals 1–0
- Oleksiak – Evans15:05
xG 0.16–0.73 (18%)attempts 13–18goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Pettersson – O'Connor14:07
xG 1.25–0.52 (70%)attempts 18–12goals 1–1
- Boeser – Rossi – Ohgren9:42
xG 0.61–0.28 (68%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
- Blueger – Karlsson – Sasson3:12
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Blueger – DeBrusk – Karlsson4:39
xG 0.18–0.08 (69%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPettersson – Willander10:01
xG 1.07–0.04 (96%)attempts 19–3goals 0–0
- Hronek – Buium7:44
xG 0.71–0.36 (67%)attempts 13–7goals 1–1
- Mancini – Buium7:19
xG 0.29–0.14 (66%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).