Sat, Mar 14, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Chicago Blackhawks 0, Vegas Golden Knights 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 06 | 06 | 09 | 021 |
| VGK | 312 | 111 | 09 | 432 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:33VGKPavel DorofeyevPPGWGAssists: Mitch Marner, Mark Stone · Slap, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 11:35VGKRasmus AnderssonAssists: Noah Hanifin, Pavel Dorofeyev · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
- P1 12:00VGKKeegan KolesarAssists: Jeremy Lauzon, Nic Dowd · Tip-in, 0.09 xG0–3
- P2 12:51VGKPavel DorofeyevPPAssists: Mark Stone, Mitch Marner · Wrist, 0.21 xG0–4
Penalties (15)
- P1 2:31VGKCole Smith: High sticking2 min
- P1 8:22CHILouis Crevier: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 12:47CHILouis Crevier: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:22VGKKaedan Korczak: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:22CHIConnor Bedard: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:11CHIAndrew Mangiapane: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:53VGKNic Dowd: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 16:58VGKNic Dowd: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:25CHITeuvo Teravainen: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:06VGKJeremy Lauzon: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:06VGKJeremy Lauzon: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:06CHIEthan Del Mastro: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:06CHIEthan Del Mastro: Misconduct10 min
- P3 10:06VGKJeremy Lauzon: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:42CHIMatt Grzelcyk: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bedard won the faceoff against Eichel
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Burakovsky – Bertuzzi – Bedard2:27
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Donato – Mangiapane – Mikheyev9:07
xG 0.33–0.42 (44%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Teravainen – Bertuzzi – Nazar9:18
xG 0.44–0.68 (39%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Lafferty – Slaggert – Lardis3:13
xG 0.00–0.40 (0%)attempts 0–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Vlasic – Levshunov4:29
xG 0.09–0.04 (67%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Crevier10:33
xG 0.50–0.59 (46%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Rinzel3:53
xG 0.05–0.13 (25%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestDowd – Kolesar – Smith8:29
xG 0.80–0.18 (81%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Hertl – Marner – Dorofeyev7:47
xG 0.61–0.12 (83%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Stone – Barbashev – Eichel8:26
xG 0.42–0.13 (76%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Sissons – Howden – Bowman10:10
xG 0.31–0.16 (67%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLauzon – Korczak9:54
xG 0.86–0.07 (93%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- McNabb – Theodore12:34
xG 1.03–0.28 (79%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Hanifin – Andersson16:36
xG 0.39–0.34 (53%)attempts 12–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).