Mon, Mar 16, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 28 | 08 | 15 | 01 | 322 |
| NJD | 06 | 217 | 16 | 15 | 434 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:02BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Henri Jokiharju, Marat Khusnutdinov · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 14:29BOSPavel ZachaAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–0
- P2 0:32NJDConnor BrownAssists: Jack Hughes · Snap, 0.16 xG2–1
- P2 8:08NJDJesper BrattAssists: Connor Brown, Jack Hughes · Slap, 0.07 xG2–2
- P3 2:50NJDPaul CotterAssists: Maxim Tsyplakov, Brenden Dillon · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–3
- P3 4:32BOSDavid PastrnakUnassisted · Backhand, 0.09 xG3–3
- OT 4:53NJDPaul CotterGWGAssists: Jack Hughes, Dougie Hamilton · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–4
Penalties (13)
- P1 8:30BOSMark Kastelic: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:30NJDBrenden Dillon: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:30BOSDavid Pastrnak: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:18BOSMark Kastelic: Interference2 min
- P3 9:18NJDJohnathan Kovacevic: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 9:18BOSMark Kastelic: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:18NJDJohnathan Kovacevic: Fighting5 min
- P3 10:45NJDNico Hischier: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:21NJDConnor Brown: Embellishment2 min
- P3 11:21BOSCharlie McAvoy: Interference2 min
- P3 12:22NJDNick Bjugstad: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:29BOSJonathan Aspirot: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:42NJDDawson Mercer: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hughes won the faceoff against Zacha
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Pastrnak – Khusnutdinov – Minten12:06
xG 0.50–0.46 (52%)attempts 12–9goals 2–0
- Kuraly – Jeannot – Kastelic7:15
xG 0.21–0.33 (40%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
- Lindholm – Geekie – Steeves8:25
xG 0.15–0.41 (27%)attempts 3–15goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt11:53
xG 0.31–0.75 (29%)attempts 5–17goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- Lindholm – Lohrei15:39
xG 0.41–0.50 (45%)attempts 14–15goals 0–0
- McAvoy – Aspirot14:02
xG 0.45–0.73 (38%)attempts 8–21goals 2–3
- Zadorov – Jokiharju16:47
xG 0.52–0.80 (39%)attempts 13–20goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Bratt – Hughes11:56
xG 1.26–0.21 (86%)attempts 26–8goals 2–0
- Glass – Gritsyuk – Hameenaho8:12
xG 0.35–0.10 (79%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- Meier – Hischier – Mercer13:58
xG 0.48–0.47 (51%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
- Bjugstad – Cotter – Tsyplakov6:21
xG 0.11–0.15 (44%)attempts 2–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Nemec12:02
xG 0.61–0.18 (77%)attempts 16–10goals 1–0
- Kovacevic – Hughes13:46
xG 0.63–0.26 (70%)attempts 18–7goals 1–1
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler15:58
xG 0.99–0.70 (59%)attempts 17–17goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).