Sat, Mar 21, 2026·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Seattle Kraken 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 17 | 15 | 05 | 217 |
| CBJ | 313 | 18 | 17 | 528 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:48CBJDanton HeinenAssists: Boone Jenner, Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 8:58CBJDamon SeversonAssists: Cole Sillinger, Zach Werenski · Slap, 0.06 xG0–2
- P1 15:16CBJMathieu OlivierGWGAssists: Cole Sillinger, Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–3
- P1 16:17SEAVince DunnAssists: Kaapo Kakko, Frederick Gaudreau · Slap, 0.06 xG1–3
- P2 8:31SEAKaapo KakkoPPAssists: Eeli Tolvanen, Brandon Montour · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–3
- P2 9:33CBJKent JohnsonAssists: Conor Garland, Adam Fantilli · Snap, 0.17 xG2–4
- P3 17:34CBJCole SillingerENAssists: Mathieu Olivier · Wrist, 0.48 xG2–5
Penalties (4)
- P1 18:09SEABrandon Montour: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:13SEAKaapo Kakko: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:00CBJKent Johnson: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:58SEAJamie Oleksiak: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Melanson – Meyers4:46
xG 0.29–0.01 (97%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Tolvanen – Wright – Catton9:31
xG 0.25–0.22 (53%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Stephenson – Gaudreau – Kakko8:31
xG 0.42–0.48 (47%)attempts 6–9goals 1–0
- Stephenson – Kakko – Nyman3:26
xG 0.02–0.21 (8%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Evans14:32
xG 0.56–0.36 (61%)attempts 16–7goals 0–1
- Larsson – Dunn17:28
xG 0.53–0.84 (38%)attempts 9–22goals 1–1
- Montour – Lindgren12:49
xG 0.23–0.69 (25%)attempts 3–12goals 0–2
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Olivier – Sillinger11:32
xG 0.83–0.07 (93%)attempts 12–5goals 2–0
- Marchment – Marchenko – Fantilli12:36
xG 0.48–0.48 (50%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Monahan – Garland – Johnson10:28
xG 0.35–0.49 (42%)attempts 12–9goals 0–1
- Jenner – Heinen – Lundeström8:29
xG 0.09–0.39 (19%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Werenski17:51
xG 1.11–0.50 (69%)attempts 20–9goals 3–0
- Gudbranson – Provorov2:21
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Provorov – Fabbro8:16
xG 0.11–0.07 (62%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).