Sun, Mar 22, 2026·United Center, Chicago
Nashville Predators 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 09 | 114 | 18 | 12 | 333 |
| CHI | 010 | 212 | 07 | 00 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:34CHINick LardisAssists: Tyler Bertuzzi, Alex Vlasic · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 6:31NSHFilip ForsbergAssists: Jonathan Marchessault · Snap, 0.25 xG1–1
- P2 13:57CHIConnor BedardAssists: Ryan Greene · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–2
- P3 9:43NSHSteven StamkosAssists: Filip Forsberg, Roman Josi · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–2
- OT 1:05NSHFilip ForsbergGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.27 xG3–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 15:14NSHZachary L'Heureux: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:03NSHRoman Josi: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:12CHILouis Crevier: Holding2 min
- P3 1:31CHIWyatt Kaiser: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:32CHIConnor Bedard: High sticking2 min
- P3 13:58NSHNicolas Hague: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nazar won the faceoff against O'Reilly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestMarchessault – Forsberg – Wood6:36
xG 0.63–0.32 (66%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Haula – Marchessault – Forsberg2:42
xG 0.11–0.05 (67%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Svechkov – Kemell – Schaefer5:02
xG 0.24–0.23 (51%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Haula – Jost – L'Heureux8:36
xG 0.30–0.40 (43%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPerbix – Ufko5:15
xG 0.55–0.38 (59%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
- Hague – Wilsby10:26
xG 0.33–0.33 (50%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Hague – Perbix5:30
xG 0.48–0.52 (48%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestTeravainen – Donato – Mikheyev8:26
xG 0.45–0.09 (83%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Nazar – Lardis9:53
xG 0.50–0.21 (70%)attempts 8–3goals 1–0
- Toninato – Lafferty – Slaggert5:01
xG 0.34–0.19 (64%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – Greene – Bedard10:36
xG 0.79–1.21 (40%)attempts 13–15goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Levshunov8:38
xG 0.73–0.36 (67%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Crevier – Kaiser5:29
xG 0.31–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 0–0
- Crevier – Rinzel2:40
xG 0.26–0.14 (64%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).