Tue, Mar 24, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Los Angeles Kings 2, Calgary Flames 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 18 | 09 | 17 | 01 | 1 | 225 |
| CGY | 06 | 16 | 110 | 01 | 2 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:35LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Joel Armia, Drew Doughty · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–0
- P2 14:50CGYOlli MaattaAssists: Victor Olofsson, Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
- P3 0:17LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Trevor Moore, Alex Laferriere · Snap, 0.14 xG2–1
- P3 13:02CGYZayne ParekhPPAssists: Matt Coronato, Matvei Gridin · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Trevor Moore stopped
- 2. CGY Morgan Frost scored
- 3. LAK Artemi Panarin scored
- 4. CGY Joel Farabee stopped
- 5. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 6. CGY Matvei Gridin stopped
- 7. LAK Brandt Clarke stopped
- 8. CGY Yegor Sharangovich scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 4:36LAKCody Ceci: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:50CGYKevin Bahl: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:30CGYMatt Coronato: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:07LAKScott Laughton: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 12:42LAKCody Ceci: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Byfield won the faceoff against Strome
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Panarin13:54
xG 0.20–0.14 (59%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Armia – Malott – Helenius5:21
xG 0.03–0.09 (24%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Laughton – Joseph – Wright9:34
xG 0.25–0.32 (44%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Moore – Byfield – Laferriere11:50
xG 0.37–0.48 (43%)attempts 11–13goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke13:10
xG 0.39–0.27 (59%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Ceci11:58
xG 0.43–0.36 (54%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson16:18
xG 0.44–0.43 (51%)attempts 15–14goals 2–1
Calgary Flames
Forward lines
- bestBacklund – Coleman – Farabee11:39
xG 0.41–0.05 (88%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Strome – Olofsson – Sharangovich10:36
xG 0.31–0.48 (39%)attempts 10–12goals 1–1
- Lomberg – Pospisil – Klapka7:07
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 0–7goals 0–0
- Frost – Coronato – Gridin12:11
xG 0.32–0.56 (37%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWhitecloud – Bahl17:18
xG 0.42–0.32 (56%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Maatta – Whitecloud2:37
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Hanley – Parekh9:53
xG 0.15–0.27 (36%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CGY's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CGY is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CGY − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).