Thu, Mar 26, 2026·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
New Jersey Devils 4, Nashville Predators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 19 | 110 | 211 | 430 |
| NSH | 05 | 26 | 06 | 217 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:02NJDJesper BrattAssists: Jack Hughes, Jonas Siegenthaler · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–0
- P2 9:13NJDNico HischierAssists: Jesper Bratt, Simon Nemec · Deflected, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 11:09NSHReid SchaeferAssists: Fedor Svechkov, Nicolas Hague · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 13:00NSHSteven StamkosAssists: Luke Evangelista · Backhand, 0.13 xG2–2
- P3 14:07NJDNico HischierPPGWGAssists: Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt · Deflected, 0.14 xG3–2
- P3 19:27NJDTimo MeierENAssists: Connor Brown, Jonas Siegenthaler · Wrist, 0.83 xG4–2
Penalties (6)
- P2 3:50NSHLuke Evangelista: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 3:27NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:56NSHFedor Svechkov: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:46NSHMatthew Wood: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 19:27NSHSteven Stamkos: Misconduct10 min
- P3 0:00NSHLuke Evangelista: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Haula
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestDadonov – Glass – Hameenaho8:14
xG 0.33–0.05 (88%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Meier – Hischier – Mercer10:33
xG 0.33–0.10 (76%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Cotter – Tsyplakov6:45
xG 0.06–0.01 (82%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Brown – Bratt – Hughes11:07
xG 0.75–0.70 (52%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Siegenthaler16:11
xG 1.07–0.40 (73%)attempts 19–14goals 1–1
- Hughes – Nemec2:01
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Kovacevic – Hughes12:03
xG 0.21–0.25 (46%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- Haula – Jost – L'Heureux8:59
xG 0.26–0.22 (54%)attempts 11–5goals 0–1
- Marchessault – Forsberg – Wood10:08
xG 0.22–0.21 (51%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Wiesblatt – Svechkov – Schaefer7:39
xG 0.11–0.11 (50%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
- Stamkos – O'Reilly – Evangelista12:02
xG 0.46–0.49 (48%)attempts 9–8goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestPerbix – Ufko10:05
xG 0.15–0.10 (60%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Josi – Skjei16:49
xG 0.74–0.69 (52%)attempts 12–19goals 1–1
- Hague – Wilsby13:35
xG 0.22–0.30 (42%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).