Sat, Mar 28, 2026·TD Garden, Boston
Minnesota Wild 3, Boston Bruins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 012 | 113 | 29 | 334 |
| BOS | 29 | 112 | 310 | 631 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:01BOSAndrew PeekeAssists: David Pastrnak, Fraser Minten · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 14:00BOSPavel ZachaAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Casey Mittelstadt · Snap, 0.12 xG0–2
- P2 10:27BOSViktor ArvidssonAssists: David Pastrnak, Hampus Lindholm · Snap, 0.03 xG0–3
- P2 14:46MINKirill KaprizovAssists: Ryan Hartman, Brock Faber · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–3
- P3 3:48BOSElias LindholmGWGAssists: Lukas Reichel, Hampus Lindholm · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–4
- P3 7:57MINMats ZuccarelloPPAssists: Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–4
- P3 13:44MINRyan HartmanAssists: Quinn Hughes, Mats Zuccarello · Bat, 0.13 xG3–4
- P3 16:50BOSPavel ZachaAssists: Casey Mittelstadt · Tip-in, 0.10 xG3–5
- P3 19:26BOSElias LindholmENAssists: Casey Mittelstadt · Wrist, 0.72 xG3–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:22MINNick Foligno: Roughing2 min
- P1 6:22BOSTanner Jeannot: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:50BOSMark Kastelic: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:50MINMichael McCarron: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:04MINMats Zuccarello: Interference2 min
- P2 15:09BOSFraser Minten: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:09BOSNikita Zadorov: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 6:09BOSMarat Khusnutdinov: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:00MINJonas Brodin: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hartman won the faceoff against Minten
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Foligno – Trenin8:29
xG 0.66–0.13 (83%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov9:59
xG 0.75–0.71 (52%)attempts 17–14goals 2–3
- Johansson – McCarron – Brink6:08
xG 0.03–0.31 (10%)attempts 4–10goals 0–1
- Tarasenko – Eriksson Ek – Boldy10:48
xG 0.39–0.75 (34%)attempts 11–19goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBogosian – Middleton9:29
xG 0.70–0.21 (77%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Hughes – Faber19:01
xG 1.01–1.06 (49%)attempts 26–26goals 1–3
- Bogosian – Brodin2:01
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestArvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt7:08
xG 0.63–0.54 (53%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Geekie – Reichel8:41
xG 0.36–0.39 (48%)attempts 11–9goals 1–1
- Kuraly – Jeannot – Kastelic7:46
xG 0.35–0.48 (42%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Pastrnak – Geekie2:02
xG 0.00–0.13 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcAvoy – Aspirot13:07
xG 0.66–0.43 (61%)attempts 20–15goals 1–1
- Lindholm – McAvoy2:29
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Lohrei10:10
xG 0.53–0.74 (42%)attempts 6–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).