Sun, Mar 29, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
Chicago Blackhawks 3, New Jersey Devils 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 213 | 05 | 113 | 331 |
| NJD | 114 | 116 | 310 | 540 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:19CHIIlya MikheyevAssists: Anton Frondell, Louis Crevier · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–0
- P1 11:15NJDConnor BrownPPAssists: Luke Hughes, Jack Hughes · Deflected, 0.10 xG1–1
- P1 13:11CHIFrank NazarAssists: Ryan Donato, Andre Burakovsky · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–1
- P2 15:48NJDSimon NemecAssists: Dawson Mercer, Nico Hischier · Snap, 0.10 xG2–2
- P3 10:51CHIFrank NazarPPAssists: Connor Bedard, Anton Frondell · Slap, 0.15 xG3–2
- P3 14:32NJDDougie HamiltonAssists: Jack Hughes, Timo Meier · Snap, 0.06 xG3–3
- P3 14:51NJDJack HughesGWGAssists: Jesper Bratt, Jonas Siegenthaler · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–4
- P3 19:29NJDJack HughesENAssists: Nico Hischier, Johnathan Kovacevic · Wrist, 0.74 xG3–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 10:55CHIWyatt Kaiser: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 1:35CHIKevin Korchinski: Interference2 min
- P2 19:57NJDLenni Hameenaho: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:54NJDNick Bjugstad: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:58NJDCody Glass: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Frondell
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBurakovsky – Donato – Nazar10:30
xG 0.89–0.54 (62%)attempts 14–14goals 1–2
- Bertuzzi – Mikheyev – Frondell9:32
xG 0.48–0.59 (45%)attempts 11–9goals 1–1
- Teravainen – Slaggert – Boisvert7:09
xG 0.13–0.34 (27%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Greene – Bedard – Lardis11:20
xG 0.50–1.63 (23%)attempts 9–25goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKaiser – Rinzel17:21
xG 1.34–1.15 (54%)attempts 17–23goals 1–2
- Kaiser – Del Mastro2:04
xG 0.15–0.08 (65%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Del Mastro – Korchinski10:55
xG 0.30–0.31 (48%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMeier – Hischier – Mercer13:13
xG 1.36–0.28 (83%)attempts 27–5goals 1–0
- Brown – Bratt – Hughes12:52
xG 1.76–0.71 (71%)attempts 25–9goals 1–0
- Dadonov – Glass – Hameenaho7:44
xG 0.20–0.42 (32%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Cotter – Tsyplakov5:54
xG 0.02–0.33 (6%)attempts 2–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKovacevic – Hughes14:36
xG 2.12–0.63 (77%)attempts 28–13goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler11:26
xG 0.97–0.30 (77%)attempts 18–6goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Hughes2:20
xG 0.18–0.11 (61%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).