Tue, Mar 31, 2026·TD Garden, Boston
Dallas Stars 3, Boston Bruins 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 05 | 28 | 13 | 316 |
| BOS | 29 | 05 | 410 | 624 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:58BOSMarat KhusnutdinovAssists: Henri Jokiharju, David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 18:51BOSViktor ArvidssonAssists: David Pastrnak, Pavel Zacha · Wrist, 0.26 xG0–2
- P2 4:49DALJamie BennAssists: Wyatt Johnston, Mikko Rantanen · Wrist, 0.29 xG1–2
- P2 16:53DALMatt DucheneAssists: Jason Robertson · Slap, 0.32 xG2–2
- P3 0:13BOSElias LindholmPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Jonathan Aspirot · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–3
- P3 5:51BOSHenri JokiharjuGWGAssists: Elias Lindholm, Morgan Geekie · Snap, 0.12 xG2–4
- P3 16:23BOSViktor ArvidssonENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.39 xG2–5
- P3 19:02DALWyatt JohnstonPPAssists: Jason Robertson, Miro Heiskanen · Backhand, 0.10 xG3–5
- P3 19:47BOSViktor ArvidssonENAssists: Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.43 xG3–6
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:28BOSNikita Zadorov: Interference2 min
- P1 16:49DALJason Robertson: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:17DALJamie Benn: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 1:00BOSViktor Arvidsson: Interference2 min
- P3 17:41BOSHampus Lindholm: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Blackwell won the faceoff against Lindholm
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestBenn – Rantanen – Johnston12:17
xG 0.83–0.34 (71%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Duchene – Robertson – Bourque10:08
xG 0.67–0.51 (57%)attempts 7–7goals 1–1
- Hughes – Bäck – Hyry4:54
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Erne – Hryckowian8:00
xG 0.25–0.31 (44%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLyubushkin – Bichsel12:40
xG 0.58–0.16 (79%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Lundkvist – Harley14:45
xG 0.55–0.35 (62%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Heiskanen – Harley2:18
xG 0.10–0.12 (44%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestPastrnak – Khusnutdinov – Minten10:40
xG 0.63–0.09 (87%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Geekie – Reichel8:31
xG 0.40–0.14 (74%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Jeannot – Kastelic9:58
xG 0.10–0.37 (22%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt10:15
xG 0.26–1.09 (19%)attempts 7–13goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Jokiharju14:54
xG 1.16–0.28 (80%)attempts 15–6goals 2–0
- McAvoy – Aspirot15:14
xG 0.49–0.57 (46%)attempts 12–7goals 0–1
- Zadorov – Peeke15:58
xG 0.39–1.00 (28%)attempts 10–17goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).